334
FNUS73 KUNR 141642
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Wright Rx...South Dakota Wildland Fire
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1042 AM MDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MDT on May 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Showers/storms will be possible on and off over the
spot area today and through the week. Another round of
precipitation is looking to come this afternoon/evening. One or
two storms today could be severe, with hail and strong winds being
the main threats. While some areas will receive wetting rains,
widespread heavy rains are not expected. Slightly drier weather is
expected later in the week, with best chances for precipitation
over the Black Hills. Outside of any lightning, no fire weather
concerns are expected this week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 18 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around
                    22 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300 to 5800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 15
                    mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 23 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300 to 6800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

$$
Forecaster...AD
Requested by...Seth Stevens
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414162.0/UNR
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Seth.stevens@state.sd.us