National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47

000
FXUS64 KAMA 150957
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
330 AM CDT WED MAY 15 2013

.DISCUSSION...
BASIC THEME OF THE GOING FORECAST HAS BEEN LEFT INTACT...WITH ONLY A
FEW ADJUSTMENTS MADE.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS KEPT FOR ALL SECTIONS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  WEAK LOW AT 850 MB OVER NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TODAY AS IT DROPS SOUTHEAST.  THIS
IS EXPECTED TO SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESS OF DRYLINE WHILE MAINTAINING
MOISTURE SUPPLY TO PANHANDLES.  STRENGTH OF CAP STILL UNCERTAIN AT
THIS POINT.  BRIEF GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY FROM HIGH-
BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN HALF.  COULD SEE A FEW
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN HALF WHERE RICHER MOISTURE WILL
RESIDE.

HAVE RETAINED LOW THUNDERSTORM POPS ACROSS EASTERN HALF ON
THURSDAY...AND HAVE SPREAD SAME FARTHER WEST DURING THE EVENING AS
RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL JET TRANSPORTS MOISTURE INTO AREA AHEAD
OF AN EXPECTED SHORTWAVE TROF.

HAVE INTRODUCED LOW POPS FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AS NEW ECMWF DEPICTS SHARPENING OF DRYLINE AHEAD OF
REASONABLY STRONG SHORTWAVE TROF.  NO POPS THEREAFTER.

HAVE MAINTAINED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FROM EARLIER FORECAST...WITH
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY ACCENTUATED BY 100 DEGREES
FAHRENHEIT EXPECTED FROM HEREFORD TO BORGER.  SATURDAY WILL BE ALMOST
AS HOT...WITH MID- TO UPPER-90S EXPECTED.  MODERATING TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDTIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY ACROSS THE
WESTERN ONE THIRD OF THE PANHANDLES.  ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL SECTIONS SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                91  59  97  61 101 /  20  20  10  20   5
BEAVER OK                  90  63  88  63  96 /  20  20  20  20  10
BOISE CITY OK              88  57  91  54  94 /  20  20  10   5   5
BORGER TX                  91  64  96  62 100 /  20  20  10  20   5
BOYS RANCH TX              94  58  98  56  99 /  20  20  10   5   5
CANYON TX                  92  58  97  59 100 /  20  20  10  20   5
CLARENDON TX               90  61  91  63  96 /  20  20  20  20   5
DALHART TX                 89  54  93  52  97 /  20  20   5   5   0
GUYMON OK                  91  57  95  58  94 /  20  20  10  20   5
HEREFORD TX                93  57  95  59 101 /  20  20   5   5   0
LIPSCOMB TX                88  62  86  62  94 /  20  20  20  20  10
PAMPA TX                   87  61  90  60  97 /  20  20  20  20   5
SHAMROCK TX                89  62  87  63  96 /  20  20  20  20  10
WELLINGTON TX              91  62  89  64  99 /  20  20  20  20  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

08/03
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
