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Spot Forecast for FWA - SAC 2024...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
608 AM AKDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 AKDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An Arctic cold front that lies over the fire area will move south
of the fire this afternoon, then move north of the fire on Thu and Fri.
There will be numerous rain and snow showers along this front over the fire
today that will taper off this evening. Some of these showers could be wet
today. Isolated showers will occur on Thu.

Moderate southerly Chinook winds developing across the Alaska Range
on Fri will continue into Sat. This will cause east winds 5 to 15 mph over
the fire area Fri into Sat. This will also bring warmer and drier
conditions to the fire area Fri and Sat.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers in the morning.
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Noon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 6 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 5-8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......East 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Noon.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs
in the upper 50s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Matt Matush
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412821.0/AFG
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0