Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
268 FNUS71 KAKQ 020819 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for Dowdy RX Burn...VDOF National Weather Service Wakefield VA 419 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... Dry and warm weather will prevail today high pressure builds across the region with afternoon min RH values ~35%. A very light SW wind in the morning will become 5 to 10 mph during the afternoon. A backdoor front drops across the region on Friday, with rain chances increasing Saturday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 88. Min humidity........34 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 2 mph shifting to the southwest 2 to 5 mph late in the afternoon, then increasing to around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (27600 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. ADI.................9 to 38. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........7 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............76 80 83 85 86 87 87 87 RH..............54 47 41 39 36 35 34 34 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 4.4 5.1 5.9 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 Transp wind dir.N N N W SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.2 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 ADI.............9 13 14 15 18 25 33 38 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 9 10 11 13 18 24 28 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. Max humidity........84 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (17300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (800 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............4. ADI.................1 to 25. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........4 4 3 6 9 12 13 14 16 18 21 23 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............86 82 78 75 71 70 68 67 65 64 62 61 RH..............36 43 50 54 61 61 65 70 75 78 81 84 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SW SW W W W 20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 2.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 ADI.............25 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..17 8 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .FRIDAY... Max temperature.....Around 85. Min humidity........44 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 2 mph becoming 1 to 2 mph early in the morning, then shifting to the west around 1 mph late in the morning shifting to the south early in the afternoon shifting to the southeast 9 to 12 mph. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Temp............62 65 75 80 84 83 RH..............84 78 60 52 44 47 20 ft wind......W 3 N 4 NE 4 E 4 SE 5 SE 6 20 ft wind gust.5 6 6 6 8 11 Mix hgt (ft)....500 600 1600 3400 5900 4200 Transport wind..W 2 N 2 NW 1 W 1 SE 3 SE 9 Haines index....5 4 4 4 4 3 $$ Forecaster...BUTNER Requested by...Cameron Lipscomb Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412992.0/AKQ .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL cameron.lipscomb@dof.virginia.gov