Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
FNUS53 KAPX 191940
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
340 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST
TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH RAIN LIKELY. SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS COULD
CONTINUE EVEN INTO TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE A LONGER PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER BEGINS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY COOL INTO
WEDNESDAY...BUT THEN WILL START TO WARM.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-200815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
340 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND PATCHY
                    DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (120).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.18 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL
                    0800. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
                    PERIODS OF DRIZZLE AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (470).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PERIODS OF DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PERIODS OF
                    DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800...THEN PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (520).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-200815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
340 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND PATCHY DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.18 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL
                    0800. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
                    PERIODS OF DRIZZLE AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PERIODS OF
                    DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800...THEN PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (710).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-200815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
340 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND PATCHY
                    DRIZZLE AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800...THEN PERIODS OF
                    DRIZZLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (480).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PERIODS OF
                    DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (520).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PERIODS OF
                    DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (640).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-200815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
340 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. PATCHY DRIZZLE AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800...THEN PERIODS OF
                    DRIZZLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (470).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (470).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PERIODS OF
                    DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (650).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-200815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
340 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2000. PATCHY DRIZZLE AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL
                    0800. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
                    PERIODS OF DRIZZLE AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PERIODS OF
                    DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800...THEN PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (660).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TL





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.