Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 200706
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
306 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

...COOL BUT MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OVER MICHIGAN TODAY...SHIFTING EAST
OF OUR STATE TONIGHT. AFTER A FROZEN START TO THE DAY...TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REBOUND NICELY UNDER MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. A MOISTURE STARVED
COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH OUT OF ONTARIO AND INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN
LATE TONIGHT...RESULTING IN ONLY AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS
THE REGION.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-202015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
306 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT...EXCEPT 46-51 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT 51-56 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 40-45 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1670).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-202015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
306 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 44-49 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (650).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT...EXCEPT 34-39 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1670).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-202015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
306 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (380).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-202015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
306 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT...EXCEPT 46-51 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT...EXCEPT 38-43 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-202015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
306 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1760).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MLR



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