Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
675 FNUS53 KAPX 021851 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 251 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024 ...Showers and thunderstorms expected tonight and Friday morning... .DISCUSSION...A brief line of showers and thunderstorms pass over northern Michigan beginning tonight into Friday morning. Precipitation-free weather continues through the remainder of the Friday with highs in the upper 60s for most areas. RHs expected to bottom out in the low 50s with light southern winds in the morning shifting to the north by Friday evening. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-030830- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 251 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2400, then numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (70). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.21 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 1200, then partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then isolated rain showers. Max Temperature.....62-67...except 51-56 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 55-60 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (285). Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.16 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Min Temperature.....42-47. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 9 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 71-76 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (15). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Max Temperature.....70-75...except 54-59 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (535). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-030830- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 251 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400, then numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....44-49. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (44). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.17 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Numerous rain showers until 1200. Isolated thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....62-67...except 50-55 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (239). Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.16 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Min Temperature.....44-49. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Max Temperature.....67-72...except 49-54 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except 1 degree cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 56-61 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (268). Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ020-025>027-030830- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 251 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Numerous rain showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 2400. Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....50-55. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (82). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.27 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....64-69...except around 50 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........33-38 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 12 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (282). Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.17 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min Temperature.....42-47. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 69-74 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (13). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....70-75...except 47-52 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees warmer near the coast. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (524). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-030830- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 251 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400. Scattered thunderstorms. Numerous rain showers after 2400. Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....50-55. 24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer...except 10 degrees warmer near the coast. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (68). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.31 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 61 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........32-37 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (425). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.16 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....43-48. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........78-83 percent. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76...except 60-65 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (535). Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-030830- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 251 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....46-51. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (45). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.14 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly sunny (50-60 percent). Numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms until 1200, then scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....64-69. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (404). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.17 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Min Temperature.....45-50. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (18). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max Temperature.....70-75. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (426). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. $$ SJC