Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

000
FNUS53 KAPX 201838
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
238 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

...Drying out Sunday - Monday...

.DISCUSSION...Any lingering snow showers this afternoon diminish
through the evening hours across northern lower MI. Precipitation-
free conditions expected Sunday through Monday with RHs falling back
to critical/near-critical levels in the typically drier/interior
areas. Gusty west-northwest winds expected Sunday with high temps
climbing to a few degrees on either side of 50. Similar story for
Monday, but with winds out of the southwest and temps climbing
further to near 60 degrees. Next chance of rain showers arrives
Monday night and continues at times through Tuesday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-210815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
238 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 34-39 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....49-54...except 41-46 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1569).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29...except around 31 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer...except 6 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1724).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-210815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
238 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 33-38 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1810).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph decreasing to around 6
                    mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1748).
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-210815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
238 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....27-32...except 37-42 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....50-55...except 40-45 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1477).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 34-39 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1499).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-210815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
238 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 35-40 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1608).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1608).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-210815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
238 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1800).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph becoming northeast
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1956).
Mixing Height.......7600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

MJG