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000
FNUS71 KCTP 161244
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Ten Top Pine Native Warm Season Grass Opening...PA-DCNR Bald Eagle State Forest
National Weather Service State College PA
844 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 16.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Sunny to partly cloudy and pleasantly warm today with a high around
70. Clouds will increase tonight with periods of light rain on
Wednesday. MinRH is forecast to drop between 20-30% this
afternoon with a light wind from the northwest at first, then a
slight turn more to the west for the afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
Min Humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 7 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................28 to 40.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  2   4   6   7   9   11  13  15  18
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  51  55  59  62  63  66  67  68  69
RH................  46  40  34  31  30  27  26  26  25
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT Wind Gust...  4   6   8   10  10  10  10  10  7
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.5 2.6 3.8 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.2
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  7   7   10  13  13  13  13  12  10
LVORI.............  2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  28  28  28  39  39  39  40  40  40
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 45.
Max Humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east 6 to
                    12 mph early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 to 10.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  20  23  25  32  39  46  53  61  68  71  74  77
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  67  63  58  57  54  52  50  49  48  47  47  46
RH................  28  32  40  42  46  50  54  56  58  60  58  58
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  7   5   5   5   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.8 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp Wind Spd...  8   5   6   7   8   10  10  12  12  12  12  12
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  4   4   4   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain likely in the
                    morning, then rain in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 56.
Min Humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing Height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 14 mph shifting to the southeast 10
                    to 17 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................16 to 25.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  80  83  86  88  91  93  95  98  100 100 100 100
Weather Cov.......  SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather Type......  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  47  46  48  50  51  51  52  53  53  54  54  55
RH................  58  63  60  66  68  74  74  74  77  77  77  74
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   7   8   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  11  11  12  12  13
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Transp Wind Dir...  E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  12  12  14  13  14  12  12  12  10  13  15  17
LVORI.............  2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   3   3   3
ADI...............  16  16  16  21  21  21  18  18  18  25  25  25
Haines Index......  4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Dangelo
Requested by...David Felix
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411101.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dafelix@pa.gov