Text Products for FWS Issued by DMX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA
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FNUS73 KDMX 241211
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Deseret 005...USFWS
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
711 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Light northeast to east winds are expected this morning becoming
southeast into the afternoon. Relative humidity values are
expected to drop to around 30 percent by mid afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Temperature.........42 at ignition...Max 62.
RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 7 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 6 to 7 mph
                    shifting to the east 5 to 6 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /19300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /27400 knot-ft/.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   8   2   1   1   3   3   2   3
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  45  48  51  54  58  59  61  62  62
RH..............74  65  57  48  43  36  33  30  28  28
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.        10  10  10  10  10  9   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.5 3.9
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.14  10  8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100019  16  15  17  19  22  24  25  27  24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 38.
RH..................Max 76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (21600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........6      8      27     29     30     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............61     56     47     44     42     40
RH..............29     37     53     57     66     73
20 ft wind......E 5    E 6    E 7    E 7    SE 7   SE 8
20 ft wind gust.7      9      10     12     14     13
Mix hgt (ft)....3300   1900   400    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 7    E 9    SE 12  SE 10  SE 10  SE 12
GFDI............0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines index....5      5      5      5      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100022     16     4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Temperature.........Max 66.
RH..................Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 22 mph increasing to around 23
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (87100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........40        41        39        45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............40        47        60        65
RH..............78        70        45        38
20 FT wind......SE 9G15   SE 12G17  SE 14G21  SE 16G23
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1700      3400      4200
Transport wind..SE 13     SE 17     SE 21     SE 23
GFDI............0         0         0         0
Haines index....4         4         4         5
SDspl kt-ft/10005         26        62        83

$$
Forecaster...Cogil
Requested by...Erik Acker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412187.0/DMX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Erik_acker@fws.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
