Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
611 FNUS53 KDTX 081955 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 355 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .DISCUSSION...Warmer (around 70 north to lower 80s south) and drying out today, as min RH falls to 30 to 40 percent across most of southeast Michigan. It will be breezy however, with gust sof 25-35 mph. A low pressure system will bring the next chance for rain to the area Thursday. Northeast winds on Thursday will contribute to much cooler temperatures in the 50s. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-082115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 355 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 am, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....44-49. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Max humidity........86-94 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......520-720 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....52-56. 24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler. Min humidity........48-58 percent. 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3670-4170 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (692). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....41-46. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Max humidity........85-95 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5 mph after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......380-580 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....58-64. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........36-46 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6450-6950 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (706). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-082115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 355 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Min temperature.....41-46. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........93-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......860-1060 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph becoming around 10 mph after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....52-56. 24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler. Min humidity........56-66 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3730-4230 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (648). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....40-45. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........86-95 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......380-580 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Max temperature.....56-62. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........38-48 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6730-7230 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (804). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-082115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 355 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 2 am until 5 am, then chance of showers. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....46-50. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Max humidity........87-97 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North around 10 mph becoming northeast in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......920-1120 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming northeast in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....54-60. 24 hr trend......22 degrees cooler. Min humidity........57-67 percent. 24 hr trend......34 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2490-2990 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (517). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....42-46. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Max humidity........84-94 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......600-800 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....60-64. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-47 percent. 24 hr trend......21 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6060-6560 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (743). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. $$ DRK