022
FNUS53 KDTX 041812
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
212 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and storms possible tonight into
Sunday morning before a weak cold front clears the region. More
seasonably average airmass follows as high pressure builds in Sunday
through Monday with min RH values falling into the 30s and 40s.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
212 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 5 am. Chance of showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms after 5 am.
                    Patchy fog after 2 am. Chance of precipitation
                    30 percent.
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    11 am. Slight chance of showers until 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4090-4590 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (446).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......660-860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4270-4770 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (319).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
212 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 5 am. Slight chance of
                    thunderstormsChance of showers after 5 am.
                    Patchy fog after 2 am. Chance of precipitation
                    30 percent.
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 pm, then partly
                    sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until 11 am.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms until 11 am.
                    Chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 10 mph becoming north in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3170-3670 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming north in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (337).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4020-4520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (351).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
212 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
                    2 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......820-1020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 2 pm, then partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until 11 am.
                    Chance of showers until 2 pm. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms until 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming north in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3250-3750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming north in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (374).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....44-48.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......860-1060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (336).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. East
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s.

$$

KDK