Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS21 KWNS 110643
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0143 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...Synopsis...
Elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated across a large
swath of the central Plains this afternoon.

...northern Oklahoma to southern South Dakota...
06 UTC surface observations show strengthening northwesterly winds
behind a cold front across the northern Plains. This cold advection
regime will persist into the afternoon, and despite an influx of
cooler temperatures, diurnal heating of a dry air mass will support
RH reductions into the 20-30% range. Sustained winds between 15-25
mph (gusting to 30-40 mph) should support widespread, sustained
elevated conditions with localized areas of critical fire weather
conditions - especially across eastern NE/KS where winds in the
850-700 mb layer are forecast to be strongest. Recent fuel reports
and precipitation analyses continue to suggest that fine fuels are
sufficiently dry to support the fire weather concern.

...Eastern New Mexico to Southwest Texas...
Localized elevated conditions are possible this afternoon on the lee
side of more prominent terrain features across eastern NM into
Southwest TX. A modest westerly flow regime will promote areas of
downslope warming/drying with pockets of afternoon RH minimums in
the 15-20% range and 15-20 mph winds. These conditions are expected
to remain sufficiently localized to preclude highlights.

..Moore.. 04/11/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$


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