Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
611 FNUS74 KEPZ 290012 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Collins Park Rx...NMSDC USFS National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 612 PM MDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on April 29. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Deep dry westerly flow will persist over the Gila through the week, with the storm track staying well north. This means a generally sunny week, with no precipitation chances, and very low, and decreasing RH each afternoon, with poor overnight recoveries. Temperatures will warm through midweek, with daily highs above the daily averages. Winds will favor light overnight and mornings, with west to southwest winds each afternoon. Lighter winds early in the week will be somewhat breezy in the mid and late week afternoons. Fire weather conditions will be typical spring dry and somewhat elevated due to persistent warmth and dryness, but fall short of critical due to no expected strong wind events. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........15 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 8 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph increasing to around 12 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (90900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........3 1 3 3 4 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 Temp............44 54 61 66 67 RH..............43 30 19 16 15 20 ft wind......W 2 S 3 W 8 W 8 SW 10 20 ft wind gust.3 10 16 16 18 Mix hgt (ft)....3500 7200 7200 8000 8000 Transport wind..NW 5 W 9 W 9 W 12 W 12 Haines index....2 2 3 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..18 75 75 91 91 Ventrate Cat....POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 41. Max humidity........41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening and overnight becoming light. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (78800 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........6 6 6 3 3 4 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............64 55 50 48 45 43 RH..............16 24 28 31 36 39 20 ft wind......SW 10 SW 10 SW 7 W 5 W 5 SW 3 20 ft wind gust.20 20 16 10 10 7 Mix hgt (ft)....6600 6600 500 500 500 500 Transport wind..W 15 W 15 W 11 W 11 W 9 W 9 Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..79 79 5 5 4 4 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........12 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 7 to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 13 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (60300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (121500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........3 2 3 2 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............41 53 64 70 RH..............41 27 15 12 20 FT wind......W 3G8 W 7G16 SW 10G20 SW 12G22 Mix hgt (ft)....4000 4000 7600 8500 Transport wind..W 13 W 13 W 17 W 17 Haines index....2 2 3 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..60 60 105 122 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD VYGD VYGD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY... Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 11 mph. .FRIDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 11 mph. $$ Forecaster...BRICE Requested by...Pedro Valenzuela Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412462.0/EPZ .DELDT 04/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov