Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 140728
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
328 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

...Scattered showers/isolated thunder today...

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will
gradually follow a frontal boundary southward today. Heavy rainfall
isn`t expected.


MIZ037>039-043>045-142015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
328 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........45-50 percent near Lake Michigan and 35-40
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 16
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2700-3200 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 3200-3700 ft AGL increasing to
                    5400-5900 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-530 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-220 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71 near Lake Michigan and around 74 Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 2
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........39-44 percent near Lake Michigan and 28-33
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 10
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-142015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
328 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-410 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....620-710 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-142015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
328 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....310-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-270 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-640 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-142015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
328 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 3 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....270-410 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....590-670 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-142015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
328 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-420 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.35 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 AM. Chance of rain
                    showers until 6 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-250 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....540-720 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 5 to
8 mph shifting to the south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening,
then showers likely overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds
7 to 12 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph
shifting to the northeast 5 to 10 mph overnight.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows
in the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s.

$$