Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 282355
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
655 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 306 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

A picture perfect afternoon ongoing across the region with
temperatures in the lower 70s, dewpoints in the 40s and just a few
fair weather cu developing across Southeast Texas. If only we
could find a way to bottle it and hold onto it forever.

Surface high pressure will shift East of the region tonight
and the pressure gradient will tighten between it and a deepening
low along the Lee side of the Rockies. Increasing southerly winds
will lift dewpoints from the lower 40s into the 50s by Friday
evening and then into the 60s on Saturday with diurnal
temperatures warming in conjunction with the invading tropical
airmass. Some increase in cloud cover is expected both Friday and
Saturday, but continued ridging aloft will prevent any
precipitation development.

Jones

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 306 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Sunday through Tuesday features a large and expansive H5 ridge with
an elongated SFC high across the GoM. This will allow for a rather
abrupt warmup into the weekend and early next week. Highs by the
weekend/early next week could climb into the middle/upper 80s with
light to moderate onshore flow.

Odds continue to increase that a positively tilted trof swings
through with a cold front sliding across the region Tuesday into
Wednesday. This could bring a round of showers and thunderstorms to
the area. This will also bring daytime highs back into the lower and
middle 70s with breezy offshore flow and much drier air. RHs will
likely drop into the 30-40% range Wed/Thu post front.

Looking further out into the 8-14 day outlook, odds are increasing a
more active weather pattern could take shape.

78

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 655 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

VFR conditions will continue through the forecast period with
minimal moisture around to speak of per forecast soundings. Thus
just a wind forecast with elevated serly/srly winds by afternoon
as the sfc high moves farther ewd and lower pressures develop over
the srn Plains, tightening the gradient overhead.

25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 306 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Light offshore flow will continue through this evening, before
gradually becoming onshore again overnight as high pressure
departs to the east. Light to moderate onshore flow will then
continue until the passage of a cold front Tuesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  43  76  53  80 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  51  74  60  77 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  48  77  59  80 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  54  77  61  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....78
AVIATION...25


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