Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
929 FXUS65 KLKN 090843 CCA AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service Elko NV 143 AM PDT Thu May 9 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Look for light, isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly across the eastern half of the forecast area today. Temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s. Another round of light, isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also expected again Friday with gradually warming temperatures into the 60s and 70s. Expect a continuation of spring-like conditions through the weekend. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Friday night. Skies are partly to mostly cloudy across northern and central Nevada this morning. For today, models are showing an upper level trough closing off with a center of circulation in southeast Utah. Isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop later this morning and afternoon mainly across the eastern half of the forecast area. Rainfall will be on the light side with less than 0.05" expected. Highs will be in the 50s and 60s. North to northeast winds will be breezy with gusts to 30 mph. Showers will dissipate for the overnight with partly cloudy skies. Lows will be in the 20s and 30s. For Friday and Friday night, the closed upper low is forecast to meander west and south, taking a position over southern Nevada and northwest Arizona. Another round of isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will again develop with the best chances for activity along and south of the US Highway 50 corridor. Winds will again be breezy and out of the northeast and east, with gusts to 25 mph or so. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s. Look for partly cloudy to mostly clear skies for the night period with lows in the 30s and 40s. .LONG TERM...Saturday through next Wednesday. All models are showing a closed off upper low spinning over northern Arizona and southern Utah. Light isolated to scattered showers will develop during the afternoon on Saturday. An isolated thunderstorm is also possible but the best chances will be in portions of White Pine county. The rest of the forecast area will see a mix of sun and clouds. High temperatures will be in the 60s and 70s. Winds will be occasionally breezy with speeds to 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Clouds will scatter out during the overnight with dry conditions. Lows will be in the 30s and 40s. The upper level low is expected to shift east with a ridge of high pressure building in from the west on Sunday. This will result in a mostly dry period with spring-like conditions through the long term. High temperatures will be in 70s and even the low 80s with overnight lows in the 30s and 40s. && .AVIATION...Active weather across the area today, with VCSH or VCTS expected at all terminals. VFR will be the primary flight category although brief periods of MVFR are expected under any showers or thunderstorms that move on terminal along with gusty and erratic outflow winds. Breezy northeasterly gradient winds will also be present in the afternoon with gusts 20 to 25 kts. KWMC remains AMD NOT SKED due to a communications issue. && .HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks, and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to seasonal snow melt. Temperature forecasts for the upcoming weekend and into early next week depict spring-like temperatures into the 70s and possibly the low 80s in some spots. Given the amount of high elevation snowpack remaining, look for runoff to increase, causing continued elevated flows for many area streams and rivers across northern and central Nevada. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and is forecast remain in action stage for the next several days. The Humboldt River at Comus is in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next few days. Wildhorse Dam currently resides in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days. The Owyhee River near Mountain City resides near action stage. The river is forecast to continue to range in and out of action stage for the next several days. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 86/86/96