717
FXUS64 KLZK 110511 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1211 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 139 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Sfc high pressure will continue to have a hold of the region through
the first half of the weekend providing plenty of sunshine and
serene weather across the Natural State. Tonight will be the coolest
its been in a while with lows dropping into the 50s. SW flow will
return by Sunday afternoon and with it bring cloud cover and the
chance of precipitation.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 139 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

To begin the period, a pattern change is expected by Sunday night as
an upper level trough dives down from the Central Plains and high
pressure over the state begins to move off towards the east. This
trough will track a closed low just north of the state bringing
unsettled weather Sunday night through Wednesday morning. A brief
break in the rain is expected before additional showers and
thunderstorms return to the forecast by Thursday.

As of right now, severe weather chances appear low at this time but
some strong storms cannot be ruled out. Changes to the forecast are
possible so continue to check back for additional updates. What is
known at this time is...it appears by the end of the weekend into
early next week multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be
possible across the Natural State.

Temperatures are expected to be in the 70s to mid 80s through the
period with overnight lows dropping into the mid 50s to mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024

VFR conditions will continue, with mainly high clouds noted over the
region. The wind will be light/variable overnight, and northwest at
4 to 8 knots on Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     81  57  81  61 /   0   0  10  30
Camden AR         82  61  79  61 /   0   0  10  70
Harrison AR       77  54  77  57 /   0   0  10  40
Hot Springs AR    83  60  79  61 /   0   0  10  60
Little Rock   AR  82  62  81  63 /   0   0  10  50
Monticello AR     82  63  80  64 /   0   0  10  60
Mount Ida AR      82  59  79  60 /   0   0  10  60
Mountain Home AR  78  54  79  58 /   0   0  10  30
Newport AR        81  58  81  62 /   0   0   0  30
Pine Bluff AR     82  62  81  63 /   0   0  10  60
Russellville AR   81  58  80  60 /   0   0  10  40
Searcy AR         81  58  81  61 /   0   0  10  40
Stuttgart AR      81  62  80  63 /   0   0  10  50

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...61
LONG TERM....73
AVIATION...67