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000
FNUS73 KMKX 251125
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Pit Road Rxburn...Wisconsin DNR
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
625 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 25.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures in the upper 40s at ignition should rise quickly into
the middle 50s by midday and the upper 50s to around 60 this
afternoon. Light southeast 20 foot winds at ignition will
gradually increase later this morning but remain in the 5 to 9
MPH range into this afternoon. Relative humidity values around 40
percent at ignition will quickly drop to around 30 percent by
midday and to 25 percent by middle afternoon. It could drop to as
low as 20 percent this afternoon.

Poor smoke dispersal values at ignition will quickly become good
by midday into this afternoon. Low mixing heights at ignition will
quickly rise above 4000 feet AGL by midday and 5000 feet AGL by
middle afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Widespread frost
                    early in the morning.
Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................40 percent at ignition...Min 25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    southeast 5 to 9 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /10200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /51000 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  38  24  10  8   6   4   5   5   5   7
Weather cov.....WID
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
Temp............32  37  42  48  51  54  57  58  59  59  59
RH..............78  64  50  40  34  32  29  27  26  26  27
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.4   5   6   6   7   10  10  10  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.2 1.7 2.9 4.1 4.7 5.0 5.1 4.9 4.6
Transp wind dir.SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   8   9   10  10  12  12  12
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10002   4   7   10  20  33  43  45  51  50  46

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Min 37.
RH..................Max 85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (48800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   10  10  10  10  10  11  11  18  24  31  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............57  55  51  46  42  41  40  39  39  39  38  38
RH..............30  35  41  51  62  67  73  76  76  76  82  82
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   9
20 FT wind gust.11  11  11  10  10  11  12  13  14  14  14  16
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.15  14  13  14  14  14  14  15  16  17  17  17
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100049  9   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7   8   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely
                    early in the afternoon. Rain showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 60.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 24 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 17 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (50100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  53  61  69  77  82  87  92  92  92  92  95
Weather cov.....                            LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............39  40  44  48  52  55  58  59  59  58  57  57
RH..............79  76  68  60  54  49  45  44  45  49  55  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  11  12  13  14  14  15  15  15  16  16  16
20 FT wind gust.18  18  19  21  22  23  23  23  23  24  24  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.17  18  25  25  24  25  26  26  26  26  26  26
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10009   10  26  30  34  41  47  50  47  43  40  35

$$
Forecaster...Wood
Requested by...Eric Kilburg
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412401.0/MKX
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.kilburg@wisconsin.gov