Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 130937
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Cape Canaveral SFS USFWS...USFWS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
537 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Sensitive fire weather conditions once again today and Sunday, as min
RH values drop to around 40 percent each afternoon. North to northeast
winds today are forecast to be around 10-13 mph, with gusts to around
20 mph possible. North to northeast winds on Sunday will veer easterly
in the afternoon behind the east coast sea breeze with speeds generally
10 mph or less. High pressure will remain over the local area through
the weekend, maintaining clear and dry conditions. Smoke dispersion
values will be very good today and poor on Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....58 increasing to 73 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 51 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   1   2   2   3   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  69  72  73  74  74  74  74  72
RH..............56  49  42  40  40  40  40  40  41
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  13  13  13  13  13  12  10  10
20 FT wind gust.14  17  17  17  17  17  16  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.4 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  20  20  18  17  16  15  15  14
Dispersion idx..58  76  75  69  65  59  55  53  46
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 5 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 13 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 5 mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....40 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 4 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........4      2      4      3      1      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............71     64     62     62     61     59
RH..............42     54     62     62     67     75
20 ft wind......N 9    NE 7   NE 6   NE 6   N 5    NW 5
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....2700   1300   600    400    400    400
Transport wind..N 13   NE 9   NE 7   NE 5   NE 5   N 5
Dispersion idx..40     5      3      3      2      2
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      3      4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming north
                    around 5 mph late in the morning shifting to
                    the northeast 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east 8
                    to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the east 7
                    to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 26.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 3 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........2         4         0         1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............58        65        77        79
RH..............80        65        43        41
20 FT wind......NW 5      NW 5      NE 7      E 9
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1000      2500      3100
Transport wind..NW 5      NW 5      NE 7      E 9
Dispersion idx..2         8         21        27
LVORI...........5         3         2         2

$$
Forecaster...Watson
Requested by...Alan Taylor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410365.1/MLB
.DELDT 04/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alan_taylor@fws.gov


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