Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
730 FNUS74 KMOB 081133 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for Stone Forest Trail...USFS National Weather Service Mobile AL 633 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 CDT on May 08. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. ...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 76 IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN AREA... .DISCUSSION... Dry conditions are expected at the burn site today through Thursday afternoon. Afternoon relative humidity values remain well above critical thresholds through the period. Southerly transport winds continue today between 20 and 25 mph, decreasing to 10 to 15 mph on Thursday. Surface wind gusts should average around 25 mph, which will exceed your gust threshold, from late this morning through this afternoon due to strong heating and deep mixing. Mixing heights this afternoon will range between 4kft and 4.5kft and again on Thursday afternoon. Afternoon dispersions are expected to be good today and generally good tomorrow. Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog will be possible both early this morning and again late tonight into early Thursday morning. Dense fog is not anticipated at this time and visibilities should remain at or greater than 3 miles. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........57 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 13 mph. Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...1006-1219 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 20 to 22 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 9 to 10 meters/second. Dispersion index....58 increasing to 76 late in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........70 60 50 39 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............84 88 89 89 RH..............74 63 57 57 20 FT wind dir..S S S S 20 FT wind spd..12 14 15 15 20 FT wind gust.18 23 25 25 Mix hgt (ft)....3300 4000 4000 3700 Mix hgt (m).....1010 1220 1220 1130 Transp wind dir.S S S S Transp wind spd.20 21 21 22 Trans wind dir..S S S S Trans spd (m/s).9 9 9 10 Dispersion idx..58 60 76 74 LVORI...........3 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 74. Max humidity........97 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...183-1128 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 9 meters/second. Dispersion index....74 decreasing to 14. LVORI...............4. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........51 66 84 77 76 83 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............86 81 79 76 76 75 RH..............65 77 85 94 94 94 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..13 10 10 10 9 7 20 FT wind gust.22 20 18 18 16 13 Mix hgt (ft)....3700 900 900 1000 1000 1100 Mix hgt (m).....1130 270 270 300 300 340 Transp wind dir.S S S S SSW SSW Transp wind spd.21 17 16 17 16 14 Trans wind dir..S S S S SSW SSW Trans spd (m/s).9 8 7 8 7 6 Dispersion idx..74 16 16 17 16 14 LVORI...........1 3 4 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 91. Min humidity........58 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...213-1250 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Transport winds m/s.Southwest 5 to 7 meters/second. Dispersion index....12 increasing to 49. LVORI...............4. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........79 72 65 65 60 50 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............75 76 83 87 90 90 RH..............94 97 77 68 62 60 20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW 20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 10 10 12 20 FT wind gust.14 13 14 15 16 17 Mix hgt (ft)....700 1700 3100 3800 3800 3300 Mix hgt (m).....210 520 940 1160 1160 1010 Transp wind dir.S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW Transp wind spd.12 12 14 15 14 14 Trans wind dir..S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW Trans spd (m/s).5 5 6 7 6 6 Dispersion idx..12 26 40 44 48 49 LVORI...........6 4 3 2 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Jonathan Howell (31) Requested by...Cliff Willis Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2413454.0/MOB .DELDT 05/08/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov