Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
486 FNUS73 KMPX 011402 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Beyer...FWS National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 902 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...For the Beyer Rx Burn, clouds will increase through this afternoon with temperatures in the mid 60s. West winds will be a bit breezy this morning before diminishing later this morning and turning more northwest by mid afternoon. RH values will fall to around 30%. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 66. RH..................57 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 13 mph at ignition...otherwise West winds 5 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /64000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /80400 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 13 to 22 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to 9 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P Sky cover.......PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............56 59 61 62 63 64 64 64 63 60 58 56 RH..............57 50 42 41 38 36 38 40 43 53 57 62 20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..13 13 13 10 8 7 5 3 6 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.21 21 20 16 14 12 9 9 9 9 9 10 Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 4.1 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.6 3.8 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W NW NW SE E E E Transp wind spd.22 22 18 16 13 9 7 7 6 6 8 9 Haines index....5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers overnight, then rain showers likely early in the morning. Temperature.........Min 48. RH..................Max 93 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2300 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to 13 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 55. RH..................Min 74 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (33500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 13 to 21 mph decreasing to around 10 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Dye Requested by...Millette Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412910.0/MPX .DELDT 05/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov