Text Products for FWS Issued by OKX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
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FNUS71 KOKX 211917
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Fresh Pond South RX...NYS DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
317 PM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will slide through early on Monday. High pressure will
assume control into Monday afternoon and Monday night before sliding
offshore during Tuesday.

Min RH values will be in the 30 percent range on Monday. A NW wind
is expected much of the day until later in the afternoon when the
wind lightens. The wind should switch to the W, then possibly the
SW very late in the afternoon and towards evening.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................51 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 8 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 6 to 8
                    mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /82900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /111000 knot-ft/.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  50  53  55  56  57  58  58  57
RH..............51  44  38  34  31  30  29  29  31
20 FT wind dir..310 310 310 310 300 290 290 280 280
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  12  10  10  8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 4.9 5.6 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.8 7.1 6.7
Transp wind dir.320 320 310 310 310 300 300 300 300
Transp wind spd.23  23  22  22  21  20  18  17  16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..83  99  108 111 109 104 109 108 93
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD GD

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 34.
RH..................Max 73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 13 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to
                    7 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the northeast around 7 mph overnight shifting
                    to the east after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (53200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   2   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............55  52  49  47  45  43  41  40  39  38  37  37
RH..............35  39  46  49  53  57  62  62  64  67  70  72
20 FT wind dir..270 240 220 230 230 230 270 000 040 050 080 090
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 2.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.280 240 220 230 230 230 270 000 040 050 080 090
Transp wind spd.13  9   7   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..53  19  2   0   0   2   2   2   2   1   1   2
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...JE
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411614.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
