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000
FXUS62 KTBW 181139
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
739 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 731 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

While the low-level atmosphere remains quite dry and stable, mid-
to-upper level moisture has returned. This morning, many are
waking up to a cloudy start in response. That being said, the
expectation is still for mostly sunny conditions to return by the
afternoon as warm, dry weather continues.

A few adjustments have been made to sky cover with respect to
current trends. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 322 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

High pressure will continue to ridge across the area through the
weekend as a cold front settles just to the north of the area.
Conditions will remain fairly dry as temperatures gradually
increase into the lower to mid 90s inland, with lows in the 60s.
The cold front finally moves through the area on Monday, bringing
a few showers and a storm or two with it. High pressure builds
back into the area Tuesday and Wednesday, with a shower or storm
possible inland in the afternoon moving in from the east each day.
Highs lower a touch, with mid 80s to lower 90s for highs and lows
remaining in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 731 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

No significant aviation concerns as VFR conditions prevails for the
next few days.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 322 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

High pressure will ridge across the area through the weekend,
keeping a light E/SE flow with afternoon sea breezes turning winds
onshore each day. A cold front pushes through the waters Monday
bringing a few showers and storms. No headlines are expected
through the period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 322 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

A couple of hours of critical humidities will continue to be
possible inland through the weekend as high pressure continues
across the area. A few showers and storms will be possible Monday
with a cold front, then another day of inland critical humidities
will be possible Tuesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  86  69  87  69 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  88  68  88  69 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  89  67  92  66 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  85  67  86  67 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  89  61  89  62 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  85  71  85  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Flannery
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Hubbard