National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KTSA 181918
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
218 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Strong cold front currently passing through NE OK will continue
steady progress eastward and clear western AR and far SE OK by
mid evening. Scattered storms will remain possible along the
boundary before it clears the forecast area with breezy northerly
winds and noticeably cooler temperatures overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Thursday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Cooler and dry weather prevails Friday with the next wave inducing
a broad region of upglide and expanding precip from late Friday
night through Saturday. Guidance continues to favor the bulk of
the precip across the southern half of the forecast area and
points southward. The heaviest rainfall totals are also likely to
remain south of the Red River through Saturday night. Widespread
cloud cover and ongoing precip will keep Saturday temps seasonably
cold with high temps 10-15 degrees below normal.

Sfc high overhead on Sunday yields a pleasant day with increasing
winds and warming temps on Monday. The next cold front passes on
Tuesday with the next chance of showers and storms. The developing
pattern for mid to late next week looks increasingly unsettled and
daily thunderstorm chances will remain in the forecast with
specific details refined in later forecasts. Typical for this time
of the year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

MVFR conditions will likely continue for much of E OK & NW AR
through this evening, with improving cigs expected across NE OK
by 06z. MVFR cigs are projected to persist across NW AR sites
through much of the night, improving tomorrow morning. There may
be a period of IFR ceilings between 00-06z for NW AR sites as
well. As a cold front pushes through the region this afternoon,
winds will shift from southerly to northerly, becoming gusty at
times following the front. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast
along the front, potentially impacting all sites except for BVO...
which is already in the post-frontal airmass... and have included
TEMPO groups to account for this potential.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   45  68  48  61 /   0  10  40  50
FSM   53  72  52  60 /  20  20  60  60
MLC   50  70  51  58 /   0  20  80  80
BVO   41  66  44  62 /   0   0  20  40
FYV   45  69  46  61 /  10  10  40  50
BYV   46  66  47  61 /  20  10  30  30
MKO   48  69  49  59 /   0  10  60  60
MIO   43  65  45  60 /  10   0  20  30
F10   47  68  49  58 /   0  10  60  70
HHW   51  69  52  58 /  30  20  80  90

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...43