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000
FXUS64 KTSA 190513
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1213 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of tonight)
Issued at 904 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Cold front has almost cleared the CWA as of 9 PM with a much
cooler airmass spreading over the area. All counties have now
been cleared from the Severe Thunderstorm Watch accordingly. A few
spotty showers remain possible across northwest AR the next few
hours, but should not amount to much.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Thursday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Cooler and dry weather prevails Friday with the next wave inducing
a broad region of upglide and expanding precip from late Friday
night through Saturday. Guidance continues to favor the bulk of
the precip across the southern half of the forecast area and
points southward. The heaviest rainfall totals are also likely to
remain south of the Red River through Saturday night. Widespread
cloud cover and ongoing precip will keep Saturday temps seasonably
cold with high temps 10-15 degrees below normal.

Sfc high overhead on Sunday yields a pleasant day with increasing
winds and warming temps on Monday. The next cold front passes on
Tuesday with the next chance of showers and storms. The developing
pattern for mid to late next week looks increasingly unsettled and
daily thunderstorm chances will remain in the forecast with
specific details refined in later forecasts. Typical for this time
of the year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Low clouds will continue shift slowly south overnight as a drier air-
mass filters into the region behind cold front. VFR conditions
expected across NE OK around 09Z and at NW AR TAF sites around 12Z.
850 mb front stalls across southeast Oklahoma into west-central Arkansas
with MVFR ceilings persisting through much of the day. Otherwise, gusty
northeast winds expected in most areas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   68  48  61  44 /  10  40  50  30
FSM   72  52  60  48 /  20  60  60  50
MLC   70  51  58  46 /  20  80  80  60
BVO   66  44  62  39 /   0  20  40  20
FYV   69  46  61  42 /  10  40  50  30
BYV   66  47  61  43 /  10  30  30  20
MKO   69  49  59  45 /  10  60  60  40
MIO   65  45  60  41 /   0  20  30  20
F10   68  49  58  45 /  10  60  70  50
HHW   69  52  58  46 /  20  80  90  80

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...12