Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 161827
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1227 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1227 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

Temperatures are expected to hover at or just above freezing
this afternoon across central Kansas along and north of I-70,
so let the long duration ice storm warning expire at noon.
There is some concern that some patchy light drizzle or some
freezing drizzle could develop toward of after dark this
evening over some of the area. If so it could necessitate an
advisory for several hours across central Kansas.

Darmofal

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 335 AM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

Forecast highlights the next 7 days: Powerful storm system
exiting the region today, mostly dry and above normal temperatures
this week, increasing precipitation chances this weekend.

Widespread precipitation with embedded claps of thunder will come
to an end from south to north this morning, as a stout mid- level
dry slot associated with the powerful Mid-America storm system
moves overhead. However, low-level lift and saturation will
continue, so expect patchy areas of drizzle in its wake. Most
precipitation this morning will fall as rain. However, areas of
freezing rain and freezing drizzle, and perhaps some sleet, will
persist for locations generally northwest of Pratt-Lyons-Salina
where temperatures are at or just below freezing. Consequently,
thinking additional ice accumulations of 0.10-0.25" are possible
generally northwest of Pratt-Lyons-Salina, mainly on elevated
surfaces such as tree limbs, powerlines, etc. The marginal
temperatures should keep most treated roads ice-free. Will extend
the ice storm warning until noon for Rice, Ellsworth, Lincoln,
Barton and Russell counties. Areas of light precipitation will
linger through early evening over central Kansas, but additional
amounts will be fairly light.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 335 AM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

Otherwise, with the exception of a cooler Tuesday, quiet weather
and above normal temperatures will prevail this week. Expecting
daytime temperatures mostly in the 50s Wednesday through Saturday.
The next chance for precipitation will arrive Saturday evening
through Sunday night, as model consensus supports another digging
western CONUS trough. For the most part, temperatures look warm
enough to keep precipitation type mostly rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1227 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

Most of the measurable precip will come to an end later this
afternoon across central and southeast Kansas as the Winter
storm finally begins to pull northeast away from the region.
However IFR/LIFR stratus cigs will be slow to improve across the
area until late tonight or Tuesday morning. Some patchy drizzle or
even some freezing drizzle could redevelop this evening across
central Kansas, though for now confidence was not high enough to
place in the terminals.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    40  29  45  29 /  80  10   0   0
Hutchinson      36  28  43  27 /  80  10   0   0
Newton          38  29  43  28 /  90  10   0   0
ElDorado        42  30  45  29 /  90  10   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   42  30  46  29 /  60  10   0   0
Russell         33  26  40  25 / 100  20   0   0
Great Bend      33  27  41  26 / 100  20   0   0
Salina          35  28  41  26 / 100  20   0   0
McPherson       35  28  42  27 /  90  20   0   0
Coffeyville     52  34  47  30 /  60  10   0   0
Chanute         50  33  45  29 /  80  10   0   0
Iola            49  33  45  29 /  90  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    51  33  46  30 /  70  10   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...KED
SHORT TERM...ADK
LONG TERM...ADK
AVIATION...KED


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