Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 060455
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1155 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDS TO HOLD THRU SUNRISE W/ CLR SKIES AND LGHT NRLY WNDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 847 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

DISCUSSION...
WX MAP SHOWS SFC HIGH OVER MO BUILDING SOUTHWARD THIS EVENING...GRADUALLY
EASING OFF THE WINDS AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH MOVES OVER THE
REGION FRI. THUS...ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL NIGHT IN STORE...WITH LOWS
REACHING THE LOWER/MID 50S BY DAYBREAK FRI. FORECAST ON TRACK WITH
NO CHANGES NEEDED.

DML

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 725 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

AVIATION...
CI WILL STREAM IN FM THE WEST OVRNGHT OUT OF THE EASTERN
PACIFIC... OTHERWISE VFR FLIGHT CONDS TO HOLD THROUGH SUNRISE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 233 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS WITH COOL NIGHT TIME LOWS. THIS HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN...AND WITH THAT...AN INCREASE IN
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL KEEP A LID ON
ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE WEEKEND.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN EARLY NEXT WEEK. DEVELOPING
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND TOWARD THE
FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY. LOOKS LIKE MAIN SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL
LOW WILL STAY WELL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE ROTATING AROUND THE SYSTEM...SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
TAP INTO PLENTY OF GULF MOISTURE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

AFTER THIS DISTURBANCE PASSES...A SMALL CHANCE OF DAILY MAINLY
DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL OCCUR FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

RUA

MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT AND PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY WITH MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE
OFFSHORE FLOW. THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW RETURNING.

THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS LOW PRESSURE
FORM OVER THE PLAINS. SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL
BE POSSIBLE FOR MONDAY.

RUA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  52  81  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  56  81  59  81 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  56  80  59  82 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  56  83  60  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...19



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