Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 022321
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
621 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...
00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT
POSSIBILITY OF MVFR VSBY TOWARDS DAYBREAK...BUT CHANCES REMAIN LOW
SO NOT INCLUDING TEMPO GROUP FOR THIS. VFR WITH LIGHT NE TO E
WINDS FOR WED.

DML

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID-AFTERNOON SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING SSWWD FROM
THE GREAT LAKES AND MAINTAINING A DRY NRLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW OVER
THE FORECAST AREA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM NRN OLD MEXICO ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS TO THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SO FAR ALL OF THIS HAS BEEN RESULTING IN
FAIR WEATHER CU AND A BASICALLY PPINE RADAR THIS AFTERNOON.

NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE INHERITED GRIDS/ZONES THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH
OF THE COMING WEEK STILL LOOKS DRY AS FORECAST SOUNDINGS CONTINUE
TO SHOW LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MOISTURE. MEANWHILE RIDGING IS
PROGGED TO MAINTAIN ITS GRIP OVER THE FORECAST AREA ALOFT...
EFFECTIVELY CUTTING OFF ANY REAL SHOT AT CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. ONLY REAL CHANCE FOR SEEING ANY PRECIP DEVELOPMENT
CONTINUES TO BE NEAR THE COAST WITH AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPMENT...BUT THAT CONTINUES TO LOOK MINIMAL AT BEST AND THUS
CONTINUE TO KEEP PRECIP MENTION OUT OF THE FORECASTS.

FIRST SMALL CHANCE FOR PRECIP COMES SUNDAY AS THE RIDGE IS
PROGGED TO RETROGRADE WHILE A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT PASSES TO OUR
NE...WITH POSSIBLY ENOUGH LIFT TO PRODUCE WIDELY SCATTERED
CONVECTION WITH DAYTIME HEATING. RAIN CHANCES LINGER INTO MONDAY
BEFORE THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK OVER THE AREA AND CUTS OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...
NO FLAGS ANTICIPATED ON THE COASTAL WATERS ATTM WITH A MAINLY
LIGHT FLOW LINGERING THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  65  88  66  90 /   0  10   0  10
LCH  69  89  70  91 /   0  10  10  10
LFT  67  88  69  89 /  10  10  10  10
BPT  69  90  70  91 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...08



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