Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 232044
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
344 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms this afternoon have continued to
gradually shift to the east this afternoon with the low level
convergence axis shifting off to the east. Also water levels
continue to remain elevated along, especially in the coastal lakes
and bays this afternoon. The PETS Guidance continues to show
elevated water levels gradually subsiding. With a pretty large low
tide beginning shortly will allow the advisory to expire at 6 PM.
The guidance still indicates potential for 1-1.5 feet of
inundation tomorrow morning with high tide, but will let the
evening shift or the mid shift get another run of the guidance
before extending it. After tomorrow morning that should be the
last advisory potential coastal flooding for this event.

Front still forecast to sag into the region Saturday and gradually
wash out near the coast. This will cause the the chance for
showers and thunderstorms to increase for the weekend. Despite
rainfall forecasts being reduced slightly this forecast cycle. The
high PWAT airmass in the wake of Cindy will aid in high rainfall
rates, so some locations could get some hefty amounts and thus a
small risk of exceeding flash flood thresholds.

Rain chances will remain elevated through Monday before getting
back to more climatological values.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  75  86  71  85 /  30  60  30  50
LCH  78  88  74  86 /  30  60  40  70
LFT  76  86  74  85 /  30  70  40  70
BPT  77  88  74  85 /  30  50  30  60

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for LAZ041-
     052>054-073-074.

TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for TXZ215.

GM...Small Craft Exercise Caution until 6 PM CDT this evening for
     GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...27



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