Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 232309
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
509 PM CST Tue Jan 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...
See 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light winds expected the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 245 PM CST Tue Jan 23 2018/

DISCUSSION...

Not many changes to the going forecast.  WV imagery shows an upper
ridge over the west coast, and a trough developing immediately west
of the FA, which is in turn developing SW flow aloft over West Texas
and Southeast New Mexico.  At the sfc, weak return flow has resumed
over the area, and will advect more moisture into a very dry ams
over the next few days.  However, dewpoints will be slow to recover,
and light winds and clear skies tonight will result in another hard
freeze for most of the area.

The aforementioned trough developing just west of here is still
forecast to close off and move NE to the Texas Panhandle by 00Z Fri,
w/out much affect on things here.  Thicknesses/850mb temps remain
flat thru Thu, resulting in near-normal temps each day, before
ramping up Friday to the warmest day this forecast as a broad.
trough moves into the central CONUS.  Attm, critical RH looks to
develop over the wrn half of the CWA Fri afternoon. However, 20`
winds look to remain under criteria except for the Guadalupes. Thus,
Friday looks to be either Red Flag conditions in the Guadalupes, of
a RFD day for elevated fire wx conditions for much of the west.

Unfortunately, a cold front will move into the area late Friday
night, pushing temps back down to normal Sat/Sun.  Temps rebound
somewhat Mon/Tue under zonal flow aloft, but not by much.  Rain
chances remain slim-to-none.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     25  62  30  63 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       20  59  23  63 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         29  63  31  61 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  27  61  32  64 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 27  52  31  57 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          19  57  24  60 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          18  56  21  60 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           25  60  31  61 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         26  60  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           21  61  25  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/10



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