Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FXUS64 KMRX 101415
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1015 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK COLD FRONT GENERALLY ALONG THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...WITH A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS OVER THE FORECAST
AREA. THIS COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF IT. MODEL SOUNDINGS REVEAL A
WARM MID-LEVEL LAYER BETWEEN 800 AND 500 MB...WHICH SHOULD HELP TO
KEEP ANY CONVECTION FROM BECOMING TOO STRONG THIS AFTERNOON.

OVERALL...CURRENT FORECAST FOR TODAY APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK...BUT WILL
UPDATE THIS MORNING TO RAISE POPS A LITTLE SINCE THE COLD FRONT HASN`T
PASSED THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA YET.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             89  66  91  68 /  30  20  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  87  64  89  67 /  30  20  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       87  63  89  66 /  30  20  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              85  60  87  61 /  30  20  10  10
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DMG



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