Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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AXUS73 KABR 011900
DGTABR
MNC011-155-SDC013-017-021-025-029-031-037-039-041-045-049-051-057-
059-065-069-075-085-089-091-107-109-115-117-119-129-031900-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
200 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016 /100 PM MDT FRI JUL 1 2016/

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ACROSS PARTS THE REGION...

SYNOPSIS...

DRYNESS HAS PERSISTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL WEEKS...ALONG WITH EPISODES OF HOT AND WINDY CONDITIONS.
DROUGHT CONDITIONS INITIALLY FORMED OVER WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA BUT
HAVE NOW EXPANDED INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA. ANOTHER
AREA OF DRYNESS HAS EXPANDED OVER NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR HAS CLASSIFIED A PORTION OF
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA IN SEVERE DROUGHT /D2/...WHICH INCLUDES
ROBERTS COUNTY.

MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS WESTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA...AS WELL AS A PORTION OF NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA. THIS
INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF DAY...MARSHALL...NORTHERN GRANT AND
NORTHERN CODINGTON. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CORSON...DEWEY AND JONES
COUNTIES ARE ALSO IN D1 DROUGHT CONDITIONS. ACROSS MINNESOTA...D1
DROUGHT INCLUDES BIG STONE AND TRAVERSE COUNTIES.

ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS BROWN...SPINK...CLARK
...CODINGTON...HAMLIN...DEUEL...STANLEY...JONES...LYMAN...CENTRAL
CORSON AND CENTRAL DEWEY COUNTIES.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.
NONE KNOWN AT THIS TIME THAT AFFECT CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA...OR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
CALCULATED SOIL MOISTURE ANOMALIES SHOW DEFICITS GENERALLY FROM
2.35 INCHES TO 3.15 INCHES ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WHICH INCLUDES THE MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT
LOCATION. ACCORDING TO THE LATEST NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS
SERVICE /NASS/ REPORT FOR SOUTH DAKOTA RELEASED JUNE 27TH...
TOPSOIL MOISTURE IS RATED AT 37 PERCENT SHORT OR VERY SHORT.
SUBSOIL MOISTURE IS RATED AT 29 PERCENT SHORT OR VERY SHORT.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
THE LATEST NASS REPORT SHOWS THE FOLLOWING FOR CROPS ACROSS THE
STATE OF SOUTH DAKOTA:

WINTER WHEAT...6 PERCENT POOR OR VERY POOR
CORN...5 PERCENT POOR OR VERY POOR
SPRING WHEAT...8 PERCENT POOR OR VERY POOR
SOYBEANS...5 PERCENT POOR OR VERY POOR
OATS...5 PERCENT POOR OR VERY POOR
BARLEY...8 PERCENT POOR OR VERY POOR
SORGHUM...2 PERCENT POOR OR VERY POOR
ALFALFA...20 PERCENT POOR OR VERY POOR

AS FOR LIVESTOCK...PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS...THEY RATED 13
PERCENT POOR TO VERY POOR. STOCK WATER SUPPLIES RATED 17 PERCENT
SHORT OR VERY SHORT.

RIVER AND STREAM FLOW CONDITIONS.
SEVEN-DAY AVERAGE STREAM FLOW COMPARED TO HISTORICAL STREAM FLOW
IS BELOW NORMAL TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
AND PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WHICH IS AFFECTED BY D1 AND
D2 DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THE LITTLE MINNESOTA RIVER NEAR PEEVER IS
MUCH BELOW NORMAL...AT 8 PERCENT. THE BIG SIOUX RIVER AT WATERTOWN
IS ALSO MUCH BELOW NORMAL AND RUNNING AT 6 PERCENT. BELOW NORMAL
STREAM FLOW CONDITIONS ARE ALSO BEING REPORTED ACROSS CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA AT THE GRAND RIVER AT LITTLE EAGLE...THE MOREAU RIVER
NEAR WHITEHORSE...AND THE BAD RIVER NEAR FORT PIERRE.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
OVERALL RANGELAND FIRE DANGER HAS BEEN REACHING MODERATE TO HIGH
OVER THE PAST COUPLE WEEKS ON DAYS OF DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS.
EARLIER SPRING GREEN-UP HAS HAMPERED OVERALL FIRE THREAT A
BIT...BUT FUELS ARE QUICKLY CURING OVER CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA. CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE THE
FIRE THREAT ON DRY AND WINDY DAYS.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
NONE KNOWN AT THIS TIME OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA...OR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

JUNE PRECIPITATION TOTALS WERE GENERALLY 2 TO 3 INCHES BELOW
NORMAL ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.
SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR...SISSETON IS 4.56 INCHES BELOW
NORMAL. THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR JUNE RANGE FROM 2 TO 6 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE LATEST 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND PRECIPITATION. THE ONE-MONTH OUTLOOK VALID FOR JULY CALLS FOR
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...WITH EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE
NORMAL...NORMAL...OR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

ALL MAJOR RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL...NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA HAVE A LESS THAN 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF REACHING
FLOOD STAGE IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND AUGUST 1ST OR SOONER IF
NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/...

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
HIGH PLAINS REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://WWW.HPRCC.UNL.EDU
NWS RIVER INFORMATION...HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
LOCAL WEATHER INFORMATION...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ABERDEEN
USDA CROP INFORMATION...HTTP://WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV/INDEX.ASP
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE CLIMATE OFFICE...HTTP://CLIMATE.SDSTATE.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...
STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

TRAVIS TARVER - DROUGHT FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
824 BROWN COUNTY 14 SOUTH
ABERDEEN SD 57401
PHONE...605-225-0519
TRAVIS.TARVER@NOAA.GOV

$$



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