Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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AXUS74 KSJT 311610
DGTSJT

AXUS74 KSJT 311610
DGTSJT
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-151-207-235-253-267-307-319-327-353-
399-411-413-417-431-435-441-447-451-312215-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1110 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2014

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED THROUGH THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER ON MARCH 25...DEPICTS EXTREME DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ALONG THE UPPER COLORADO RIVER AND PECAN BAYOU WATER
SYSTEMS DUE TO EXTREMELY LOW SURFACE WATER SUPPLY RESERVOIRS AND
STREAMFLOWS. EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE ALSO COVERING MUCH OF
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON AND SAN SABA COUNTIES AND PORTIONS OF
MASON AND EASTERN KIMBLE COUNTIES. IMPACTS OF EXTREME DROUGHT
INCLUDE MAJOR CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES...WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES
OR RESTRICTIONS.

DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE INTENSIFIED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WITH
MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT DEPICTED OVER THE REMAINING WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES. IMPACTS OF SEVERE DROUGHT INCLUDE CROP OR
PASTURE LOSSES LIKELY...WATER SHORTAGES COMMON...WATER
RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED. IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH MODERATE DROUGHT
INCLUDE... SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS... PASTURES...STREAMS...RESERVOIRS
OR WELLS LOW...SOME WATER SHORTAGES DEVELOPING OR
IMMINENT...VOLUNTARY WATER USE RESTRICTIONS REQUESTED.
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
AS OF MARCH 28...THE FOLLOWING WEST CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES
SUPPORT A COUNTY WIDE OUTDOOR BURN BAN...

TOM GREEN...COKE...NOLAN...TAYLOR...CALLAHAN...SAN SABA...BROWN...
COLEMAN...MASON...CROCKETT...CONCHO...SHACKELFORD AND
THROCKMORTON COUNTIES.
HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX
(KBDI) AS A SYSTEM FOR RELATING CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR. IT IS A
NUMERICAL INDEX CALCULATED DAILY FOR EACH COUNTY. EACH NUMBER IS
AN ESTIMATE OF THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN
INCH...NEEDED TO BRING THE SOIL BACK TO SATURATION. THE INDEX
RANGES FROM 0 TO 800...WITH 0 REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND
800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL. AS OF MARCH 31...THE KEETCH-BYRAM
DROUGHT INDEX SHOWS THAT MOST WEST CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES FALL
WITHIN THE 300 TO 500 RANGE. GENERALLY...IN THIS RANGE... LOWER
LITTER AND DUFF LAYERS ARE DRYING AND BEGINNING TO CONTRIBUTE TO
FIRE INTENSITY. THIS RANGE IS TYPICAL OF LATE SPRING...EARLY
GROWING SEASON. THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR
KEY WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 25 PERCENT. WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE EXCEEDED...EXPECT THE
FIRE DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED.
HTTP://TICC.TAMU.EDU/PREDICTIVESERVICES/DROUGHT.HTM

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS CROP WEATHER REPORT ISSUED MARCH 25 BY THE
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURE PROGRAM...THE FOLLOWING AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS
WERE NOTED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS....SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
CONTINUED THROUGHOUT THE REGION. SOIL MOISTURE WAS VERY LOW AND
EXTREME WILDFIRE DANGER GREW. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WERE MILD
AND THERE WERE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS REPORTED IN ISOLATED AREAS.
FIELDWORK AND PREPARATIONS FOR SPRING PLANTING WERE UNDER WAY.
COTTON PRODUCERS WERE PLOWING FIELDS AND SPRAYING WEEDS. DRYLAND
WHEAT WAS DECLINING AND SHOWING SIGNS OF DROUGHT STRESS. IRRIGATED
WHEAT LOOKED VERY GOOD. RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN POOR
CONDITION AND ALSO DECLINING. SOME WARM SEASON GRASSES WERE
BEGINNING TO BREAK DORMANCY. LIVESTOCK REMAINED IN FAIR CONDITION
WITH CONTINUED SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE PERIOD JANUARY...FEBRUARY...MARCH...JFM...HAS BEEN EXTREMELY
DRY ACROSS THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS REGION. THE FOLLOWING
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE OBSERVED FOR THE JFM PERIOD.


                      JFM    JFM NORMAL
                   PRECIP        PRECIP     PERCENT OF
STATION            INCHES        INCHES         NORMAL
------------------------------------------------------

BROWNWOOD     0.31   6.41            5
BRADY             0.51   5.23           10
MASON             0.46   5.40            9
JUNCTION     0.24   4.84            5
SAN ANGELO     0.11   3.78            3
WOODSON             0.85   5.27           16
STAMFORD     0.51   4.45           11
ABILENE             1.16   4.12           28
ALBANY             0.94   5.39           17
ROTAN             0.12   4.18            3



PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...CPC...CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT
ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS EXIST AND ARE FAVORED THROUGH SPRING 2014.
THIS MEANS THAT NEITHER EL NINO NOR LA NINA IS EXPECTED TO
INFLUENCE THE CLIMATE DURING THE WINTER AND SPRING.

THE CPC OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD APRIL THROUGH JUNE INDICATES THAT
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAS ENHANCED CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE CPC PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD APRIL THROUGH JUNE
INDICATES THAT THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL...NORMAL
AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

THE LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK THROUGH JUNE...ISSUED BY
CPC...SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSISTING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS. HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS...
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATERWATCH...MANY STREAMFLOWS ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS ARE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF MARCH 31...


/                    CURRENT   CONSERVATION     CURRENT             %
/                  ELEVATION       CAPACITY    CAPACITY  CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR               (FT)        (AC-FT)     (AC-FT)      CAPACITY

FORT PHANTOM HILL   1622.60           70030       29910           43
LAKE STAMFORD       1401.29           51570        7110           14
HUBBARD CREEK       1159.00          318070       71810           22
HORDS CREEK LAKE    1881.75            5780         870           13
LAKE BROWNWOOD      1413.82          131428       69880           54
E.V. SPENCE         1827.22          517272       14500            3
O.C. FISHER             N/A          119200           0            0
O.H. IVIE           1504.85          554340       67290           12
TWIN BUTTES (N+S)       N/A          186200        4810            3
LAKE NASWORTHY      1868.80           10108        5950           59

HTTP://WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE

NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJT/?N=DROUGHT
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST...HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
7654 KNICKERBOCKER ROAD
SAN ANGELO TEXAS  76904
PHONE: 325-944-9445
NWS.SANANGELO@NOAA.GOV


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