Extended Streamflow Prediction Issued by NWS
000
FGUS65 KSTR 041531
ESPNM
TTAA00 KSLR DDHHMM
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
SALT LAKE CITY UT
June 3, 2013
WATER SUPPLY INFORMATION FOR
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN
PRECIPITATION AND SNOWPACK (% OF AVERAGE):
SUBBASIN MAY PRECIP OCT-MAY PREC JUN 1 SNOWPACK
---------------------- ---------- ------------ ---------------
ABOVE NAVAJO RES 55 65 0
ANIMAS 55 65 0
LOWER SAN JUAN 40 65 -
TOTAL 50 65 0
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OBSERVED STREAMFLOW SUMMARY (% OF AVERAGE):
MAY FLOW OCT-MAY FLOW
---------------------- -------- ------------
BASIN AVERAGE 60% 60%
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RESERVOIR STORAGE AS OF JUN 1:
RESERVOIR % CAPACITY
--------------------- ----------
NAVAJO 58
VALLECITO 64
LEMON 36
TOTAL 58
WATER SUPPLY VOLUME FORECASTS:
San Juan River Basin
Period MP MP% RMAX RMIN AVG
------ ---- --- ---- ---- ---
San Juan River
Pagosa Springs Apr-Jul 106 49 116 97 215
Pagosa Springs Jun-Jul 29 30 39 20 96
Carracas, nr Apr-Jul 136 36 146 129 380
Carracas, nr Jun-Jul 50 32 60 43 158
Rio Blanco River
Pagosa Springs, nr, Blanco Dam Apr-Jul 24 44 27 22 54
Pagosa Springs, nr, Blanco Dam Jun-Jul 7.5 33 10.0 5.5 23
Navajo River
Chromo, nr, Oso Div Dam, blo Apr-Jul 26 40 29 24 65
Chromo, nr, Oso Div Dam, blo Jun-Jul 9.0 30 12.0 7.0 30
Piedra River
Arboles, nr Apr-Jul 109 52 115 105 210
Arboles, nr Jun-Jul 30 41 36 26 74
Los Pinos River
Vallecito Res, Bayfield, nr Apr-Jul 105 54 115 97 194
Vallecito Res, Bayfield, nr Jun-Jul 40 40 50 32 99
San Juan River
Navajo Res, Archuleta, nr Apr-Jul 300 41 340 265 735
Navajo Res, Archuleta, nr Jun-Jul 75 26 110 40 290
Florida River
Lemon Res, Durango, nr Apr-Jul 25 45 29 22 55
Lemon Res, Durango, nr Jun-Jul 8.0 30 12.0 5.0 27
Animas River
Durango Apr-Jul 193 47 210 178 415
Durango Jun-Jul 77 35 94 62 220
San Juan River
Farmington Apr-Jul 400 36 435 380 1100
Farmington Jun-Jul 93 20 126 75 470
La Plata River
Hesperus Apr-Jul 6.9 30 8.4 6.4 23
Hesperus Jun-Jul 1.50 18 2.5 1.00 8.5
San Juan River
Bluff, nr Apr-Jul 365 33 385 340 1100
Bluff, nr Jun-Jul 80 18 120 56 450
Mancos River
Mancos, nr Apr-Jul 9.9 32 11.9 8.4 31
Mancos, nr Jun-Jul 3.0 29 5.0 1.50 10.4
MP Most probable volume in 1000 acre-feet.
MP% Most probable volume in percent of the 1981-2010 average.
RMAX Volume that has a 10 percent chance of being exceeded.
RMIN Volume that has a 90 percent chance of being exceeded.
AVG Average volume for the 1981-2010 period.
All forecast volumes reflect natural flow. Actual observed flow may
be affected by upstream water management.
CBRFC/G.Smith