Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
WGUS82 KTBW 271521
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1021 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA... THE
CYPRESS CREEK AT WORTHINGTON GARDENS AND THE ANCLOTE RIVER AT ELFERS. THE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THE HILLSBOROUGH RIVER NEAR ZEPHYRHILLS AND THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER NEAR WIMAUMA HAVE BEEN CANCELLED AS FLOODING IS NO LONGER
EXPECTED.

.HEAVY RAIN FROM A FEW DAYS AGO BROUGHT SEVERAL OF THE AREA RIVERS
AND CREEKS INTO OR NEAR FLOOD STAGE. NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS IN THE FORECAST
SO WATER LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO CREST SOON BEFORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC101-281521-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.141130T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.141130T1200Z.141202T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE CYPRESS CREEK AT WORTHINGTON GARDENS.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 8.6 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AT THE RECREATION AREA ON STATE ROAD
  54.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.8 FEET ON SEP 30
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

CYPRESS CREEK
 WORTHINGTON   8   6.4  THU 10 AM   7.0    7.6    8.0    8.4    8.6


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC057-281521-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-141129T0430Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.141126T1815Z.141127T1400Z.141128T2230Z.NO/
1021 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 09 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  13.9  THU 09 AM  13.5   12.1   11.5   11.1   10.6


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC101-281500-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-141128T1500Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.141127T2236Z.141128T0600Z.141128T0900Z.NO/
1021 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE ANCLOTE RIVER AT ELFERS.
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 09 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.THE RIVER IS
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.6 FEET ON MAR
14 2010.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

ANCLOTE RIVER
 ELFERS       20  18.2  THU 09 AM  19.6   14.9   13.7   13.2   13.0


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263



$$

FLC057-271551-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-141201T1200Z/
/ZPHF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE HILLSBOROUGH RIVER NEAR ZEPHYRHILLS.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...SOME STATE PARK OPERATIONS ARE SUSPENDED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.9 FEET ON MAR 2
  1998.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

HILLSBOROUGH
 ZEPHYRHILLS  10   8.9  THU 10 AM   8.4    8.1    7.6    7.0    6.2


&&


LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
 2817 8225 2817 8215



$$

FLC057-271551-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-141128T1330Z/
/WIMF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP
17 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  10.7  THU 10 AM   9.4    8.1    6.8    6.2    5.9


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$



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