Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FNUS51 KBUF 300533
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
133 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure north of the region will move east tonight while a
low pressure system over the Mississippi Valley draws moisture
northward toward the New York on Thursday. Chances for rain
will increase over far Western New York Thursday afternoon, with
precipitation spreading across all of Western and Central New
York Thursday night. This complex system may bring some thunder
to far Western New York while a brief period of snow will be
possible east of Lake Ontario. The system will change to all
rain by Friday and move east of the region for the weekend.

NYZ001-002-010-011-300900-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
133 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     PCldy        MCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0           90          100          100
Precip type                      None         Rain        Tstms         Rain
Min/Max Temp                       31           44           35           51
AM Wind (mph)                                 E  8                     SE 10
PM Wind (mph)                                 E 10         E 11        SE  9
Precip amount                    0.00         0.11         0.64         0.53
Precip duration                                  2           12           12
Precip begin                                  3 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               79           52           89           64
Haines Index                        4            4            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            4            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            220         2410          540         1640
Transport wind (kt)              E  8         E 16         E 15        SE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1760        38560         8100        13120
Dispersion Index                    2           39            8           13
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-300900-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
133 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     PCldy        MCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0           90          100           90
Precip type                      None         Rain        Tstms         Rain
Min/Max Temp                       29           44           35           49
AM Wind (mph)                                 E  6                      S 13
PM Wind (mph)                                SE  9        SE 11         S 12
Precip amount                    0.00         0.09         0.33         0.52
Precip duration                                  5           12           12
Precip begin                                  1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               81           46           94           70
Haines Index                        4            4            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            4            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            330         2460          310         2640
Transport wind (kt)              E  9        SE 19         S 17         S  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2970        46740         5270        21120
Dispersion Index                    3           47            5           21
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-300900-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
133 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     PCldy        MCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0           50          100          100
Precip type                      None         Rain        Tstms         Rain
Min/Max Temp                       29           44           35           47
AM Wind (mph)                                NE  5                     SE 12
PM Wind (mph)                                 E  6         E  7        SE 11
Precip amount                    0.00         0.03         0.55         0.58
Precip duration                                  1           12           12
Precip begin                                  3 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               82           46          100           71
Haines Index                        4            4            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            4            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            180         2990          310         2060
Transport wind (kt)             NE  7         E 10         E 17        SE 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1260        29900         5270        30900
Dispersion Index                    1           30            5           31
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ006>008-300900-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
133 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                    MClear        PCldy        MCldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           90          100
Precip type                      None         None    Snow/rain    Snow/rain
Min/Max Temp                       24           45           29           40
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     SE 10
PM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var         E  5        SE 10
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.35         0.51
Precip duration                                               8           12
Precip begin                                               8 PM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               88           35          100           71
Haines Index                        4            4            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            350         3530          240         1800
Transport wind (kt)              N 12         E  6         E 10        SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                4200        21180         2400        36000
Dispersion Index                    4           21            2           36
REMARKS...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows in the mid 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...East around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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