Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FNUS51 KBUF 222046
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
446 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will make its way northeastward across our region
through tonight...while bringing a general chance of showers and
thunderstorms and ushering in a much warmer and more humid
airmass. Showers and storms will then become more widespread on
Friday as tropical moisture surges across our area in advance of
an approaching cold front...which will then cross New York
State late Friday and Friday night. In the wake of the front...
cooler and somewhat unsettled weather will follow for this
weekend as broad upper level troughing digs across the Great
Lakes.

NYZ001-002-010-011-230915-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
446 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     40           60           60           30
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       71           82           60           73
AM Wind (mph)                                SW 11                      W  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  8        SW 13         W  9         W 11
Precip amount                    0.05         0.18         0.08         0.03
Precip duration                     2            4            3            1
Precip begin                    10 PM   Continuing   Continuing        11 AM
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         1 AM         6 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               90           63           97           44
Haines Index                        3            3            4            4
LAL                                 4            5            5            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             90         3340          120         7740
Transport wind (kt)             SW 11        SW 23        NW  7         W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 990        76820          840       139320
Dispersion Index                    1           77            1          139
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-230915-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
446 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     40           90           80            0
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Min/Max Temp                       66           78           57           73
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  9                      W  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  8        SW 10         W  9         W 11
Precip amount                    0.06         0.35         0.26         0.00
Precip duration                     2            8            7
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         6 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               98           63          100           38
Haines Index                        3            3            3            4
LAL                                 4            5            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         2800          140         7490
Transport wind (kt)             SW 13        SW 18        NW  8         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 910        50400         1120       164780
Dispersion Index                    1           50            1          165
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-230915-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
446 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     40           90           80           30
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       71           84           61           75
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  8                      W  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  5        SW 11         W 10         W 11
Precip amount                    0.04         0.16         0.16         0.03
Precip duration                     2            6            6            1
Precip begin                    11 PM   Continuing   Continuing        11 AM
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         5 AM         6 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               88           59           99           39
Haines Index                        3            3            3            4
LAL                                 4            5            5            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         3940          220         7820
Transport wind (kt)              S  7        SW 20         W 10         W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        78800         2200       140760
Dispersion Index                    0           79            2          141
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ006>008-230915-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
446 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     60           70           70            0
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Min/Max Temp                       66           81           59           73
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  9                      W  6
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW 10        SW  9         W 10
Precip amount                    0.25         0.32         0.25         0.00
Precip duration                     3            6            6
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         6 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               99           63          100           40
Haines Index                        3            3            3            4
LAL                                 4            5            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             30         4770          170         7590
Transport wind (kt)             SE  5        SW 24        SW 16         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 150       114480         2720       129030
Dispersion Index                    0          114            3          129
REMARKS...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around
70.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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