Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 200958
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
458 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Areas of dense fog and light wind will occur across much of
Central Pennsylvania and the Susquehanna River Valley early
today. Unseasonably warm air with near record afternoon
high temperatures will push north across the region
for today and Wednesday. A strong cold front will move
southeast across the commonwealth during the day Wednesday,
followed by several weak waves of low pressure bringing bouts
of rain for the second half of the week, and even some light
freezing precipitation Thursday morning.

PAZ004>006-010-011-202115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
458 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0           10           80
Temp (24h trend)             68 (+20)     53 (+12)           59
RH % (24h trend)              46 (-7)      93 (-7)           71
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  8 G19                 SW 10 G21
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW 11 G20     S  9 G17    NW  8 G19
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.13
Precip Duration                                  1           10
Precip Begin                                  1 AM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2430          410         1700
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 21        SW 16         W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               74510            0        73420
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with freezing rain, sleet, snow likely and a
chance of rain. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s.
Minimum RH 70 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain likely or a chance of snow or freezing
rain likely. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
77 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain or snow. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-202115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
458 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           70
Temp (24h trend)             70 (+28)     51 (+16)           66
RH % (24h trend)             42 (-22)      93 (-7)           65
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  6 G17                 SW  9 G22
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW  8 G17         S  7     W  8 G20
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.07
Precip Duration                                               5
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3430          190         2850
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 18         S  9        SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               84260            0        92680
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain, freezing rain and sleet. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain or freezing rain likely or a chance of
snow. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
79 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows around 40. Highs around
50. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain or snow. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-202115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
458 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           60
Temp (24h trend)             72 (+18)      53 (+7)           68
RH % (24h trend)             41 (-18)     89 (-11)           64
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  9 G22                 SW 11 G30
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW 11 G22    SW  7 G17     W 10 G26
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration                                               4
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4620            0         3920
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 30        SW  7        SW 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              127320            0       136250
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain and freezing rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
around 40. Minimum RH 82 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain or freezing rain likely. Warmer. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 85 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 77 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-202115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, and Mifflintown
458 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           50
Temp (24h trend)             70 (+26)     50 (+14)           72
RH % (24h trend)             41 (-19)      96 (-4)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  5 G17                 SW  8 G21
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW  7 G17         S  6     W  6 G19
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2420           90         2780
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 15         S  8        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               88260            0       123660
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain likely and freezing rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain or freezing rain likely. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 79 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 73 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs
in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

PAZ034-035-202115-
Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Bedford and McConnellsburg
458 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           50
Temp (24h trend)             72 (+22)     51 (+12)           73
RH % (24h trend)             40 (-29)      96 (-4)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  5 G17                 SW  7 G21
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW  8 G17         S  6     W  8 G20
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4270           50         4100
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 18         S  8        SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              109490            0       136560
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain and freezing rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 30s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 40s. Minimum RH 83 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 75 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs around 50. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-202115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
458 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0           10           70
Temp (24h trend)             67 (+28)     50 (+16)           64
RH % (24h trend)             46 (-20)      96 (-4)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         S  6 G18                 SW  9 G21
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW 10 G18     S  9 G17     W  6 G19
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.06
Precip Duration                                  1            4
Precip Begin                                  1 AM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            410           20         1580
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  9         S  7        NW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                7650            0        24410
Dispersion                          3            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely or a chance of snow or
freezing rain likely. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Minimum RH 75 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 40s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain or snow. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-202115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
458 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0           20           50
Temp (24h trend)             67 (+26)     48 (+13)           70
RH % (24h trend)             43 (-18)      96 (-4)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          Lgt/Var                     SW  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  6         S  6      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration                                  1            2
Precip Begin                                  1 AM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            900           80         1720
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  7         S  7        SW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               27660            0        34110
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain likely and freezing rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain or freezing rain likely or a
chance of snow. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
Minimum RH 75 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows around 40. Highs around
50. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain or snow. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-202115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
458 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           40
Temp (24h trend)             70 (+25)     51 (+13)           74
RH % (24h trend)             43 (-22)      100 (0)           59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  5                 SW  8 G18
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  8         S  7    SW  9 G21
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                                               1
Precip Begin                                               6 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           1710          180         3290
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 15         S 12        SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               54000            0        76760
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain likely and freezing rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 40s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 75 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


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