Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 280748
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
347 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY. MINIMUM RH
VALUES WILL BE IN THE 40 TO 50 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.
INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
RAISE RH VALUES TO NEAR 60 PERCENT ON FRIDAY. THE WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE LOW THEN TRACKING THROUGH
NORTHERN MI SATURDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR A WETTING RAIN WILL OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-282100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
347 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4280-4780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (370).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......680-880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4360-4860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (870).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-282100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
347 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4220-4720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......980-1180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1640-2140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (440).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-282100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
347 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4590-5090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (390).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3810-4310 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.

$$

DRK






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