Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 231905
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
305 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...Humid conditions will continue this afternoon as chances also
increase for rain and thunderstorms. Storms will be most likely
through the evening as they form ahead of a cold front working
through the area. High pressure then builds into the area Monday
and Tuesday, bringing quiet weather, cooler temperatures, and lower
humidity.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-241215-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
305 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 4 am then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 pm then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms until
                    11 pm then chance of showers after 4 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm then a slight chance of
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5140-5640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1250).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 10 pm then
                    clear (5-15 percent). Chance of precipitation
                    30 percent.
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph becoming northeast around 5
                    mph in the late evening and early
                    morning then becoming north after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming east early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4180-4680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (570).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-241215-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
305 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 4 am then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm then
                    chance of showers after 4 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light and variable then
                    becoming west around 5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph becoming north 15
                    to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4340-4840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph becoming north
                    around 30 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1260).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 8 pm then
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 25 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4030-4530 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (650).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241215-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
305 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 pm then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms until
                    11 pm then a slight chance of. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 8 am. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4690-5190 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1140).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until midnight then
                    clear (10-20 percent). Chance of showers until
                    8 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......140-340 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4410-4910 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (720).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
70s. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.

$$

SC


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