Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 170750
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
350 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE
50S...WITH RH VALUES ONLY DROPPING TO AROUND 45 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT
PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WILL PRODUCE A
FEW SHOWERS...WITH DRY WEATHER RETURNING FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-172130-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
350 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1010).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......750-950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 6 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4950-5450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (780).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-172130-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
350 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3730-4230 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......740-940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 5 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 7 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5420-5920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (880).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-172130-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
350 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5510-6010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1000).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......560-760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL NOON...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 5 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 7 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10570-11070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1780).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

$$

SF






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