Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 221947
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
347 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017

...Showers possible...

.DISCUSSION...Light rain showers are possible tonight as low pressure
moves toward Lower Michigan.




MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
347 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 2300, then scattered rain showers
                    until 0100, then isolated rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1900-2400
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.29 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated rain showers
                    until 1000. isolated thunderstorms. scattered
                    rain showers after 1000.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........72-77 percent near Lake Michigan and 61-66
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 16
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4300-4800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.22 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    until 0200, then numerous rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2300-2800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.34 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-230815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
347 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2300 until 0100, then isolated
                    rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    until 1400. isolated thunderstorms. numerous
                    rain showers after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.19 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    until 0200, then scattered rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 600-1100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.36 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
347 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 0200, then isolated rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.32 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 0900. isolated thunderstorms.
                    scattered rain showers after 0900.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent near Lake Michigan and 54-59
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 14
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4500-5000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.24 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    until 1400, then numerous rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.35 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
347 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 2100, then scattered rain showers
                    until 0200, then isolated rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.21 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated rain showers
                    until 1000. isolated thunderstorms. scattered
                    rain showers after 1000.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.22 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.19 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.31 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
347 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1100. isolated thunderstorms.
                    scattered rain showers after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.30 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.26 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1400, then numerous rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.48 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Numerous showers in the evening, then
scattered showers overnight. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. North winds 6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast overnight.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
overnight. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s.



$$



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