Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 221914
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
314 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

...Showers and thunderstorms tonight...

.DISCUSSION...An approaching cold front will bring rain and
thunderstorms tonight. A few showers will linger Friday morning
before a much cooler and drier airmass moves in Friday night through
the weekend.


MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
314 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2700-3200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.75-1.28 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1300, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1100. slight chance of
                    showers until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent near Lake Michigan and 46-51
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 13
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1100-1600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2700-3200 ft AGL increasing to
                    5800-6300 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph increasing to west
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1900 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 600-1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent near Lake Michigan and 45-50
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 1
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6800-7300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-230815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
314 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.69-1.25 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL increasing to 7200-7700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1900 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 1100-1600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
314 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 0200, then showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2100-2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4500-5000 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1400-1900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent) decreasing to 500 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........0.21-0.89 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3900-4400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.12 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1300-1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3400-3900 ft AGL decreasing to
                    700-1200 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6900-7400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
314 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 0200, then showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to 1600-2100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.39-0.82 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL increasing to 6700-7200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1500 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.13 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
314 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 0200, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 1600-2100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent) decreasing to 600 (excellent)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.60 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1400. chance of showers
                    until 1700.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL increasing to 5800-6300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good) increasing to 1000 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.14 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL decreasing to 1500-2000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers overnight.
Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers until midday. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 8 to 13 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s.
Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s.

$$



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