Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 291917
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will extend across the area from offshore through
early Monday. Expect warm temperatures and isolated sea breeze
showers or storms, mainly Sunday. The next cold front will
bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms late Monday into
early Tuesday. High pressure will follow for the mid-week
period. A Low pressure system will impact the region Thursday
into Friday with possible soaking rain.

Fog potential for tonight...moderate.

NCZ105>110-301130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          71           85           66           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8 G21     S  6         S  9 G21     S 13 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S 11 G22     S  9 G20     S 18 G29
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             2200         77/0900      1900         74/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        90           54           97           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4480                      4030
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      S 33
Ventilation rate                   80640                     132990
ADI early             46 Gen good  36 Fair      32 Fair      82 Good
ADI late              6 Very poor  53 Gen good  15 Gen poor  97 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-301130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          70           86           66           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7 G20     S  6         S  9 G21     S 14 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G21     S 10         S 21 G29
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             2200         75/0900      1900         74/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        93           53           96           53
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4650                      4030
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      S 35
Ventilation rate                   83700                     141050
ADI early             45 Gen good  41 Gen good  35 Fair      85 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  70 Good      16 Gen poor  101 Very good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-301130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          69           86           67           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         S  6         S 10 G20     S 15 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S 10 G21     S 10         S 20 G27
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             2200         75/0900      1900         74/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        93           52           96           54
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          5            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4650                      4030
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      S 35
Ventilation rate                   79050                     141050
ADI early             41 Gen good  37 Fair      33 Fair      84 Good
ADI late              5 Very poor  69 Good      16 Gen poor  101 Very good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-301130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          71           84           67           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10 G24     S  8 G21     S 12 G24     S 14 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S 13 G25     S 11 G22     S 21 G29
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             2200         77/0900      1900         75/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        90           55           95           58
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4580                      4030
Transport wnd (mph)                S 22                      S 35
Ventilation rate                   100760                    141050
ADI early             42 Gen good  43 Gen good  40 Fair      86 Good
ADI late              6 Very poor  64 Good      17 Gen poor  101 Very good
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-301130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          70           86           67           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8 G21     S  7 G20     S 11 G22     S 14 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S 12 G23     S 10 G20     S 19 G27
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             2200         76/0900      1900         74/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        90           52           95           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4650                      4030
Transport wnd (mph)                S 21                      S 33
Ventilation rate                   97650                     132990
ADI early             52 Gen good  45 Gen good  40 Fair      84 Good
ADI late              5 Very poor  66 Good      16 Gen poor  98 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-301130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           60
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2            4
Min/Max Temp          68           86           66           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         S  6         S 11 G21     S 15 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S 11 G22     S 11 G21     S 19 G27
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12
Precip duration                                 1            4
Inversion             2200         74/0900      1900         74/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        94           52           95           55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4650                      4030
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      S 33
Ventilation rate                   79050                     132990
ADI early             51 Gen good  37 Fair      34 Fair      82 Good
ADI late              5 Very poor  52 Gen good  16 Gen poor  97 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 34 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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