Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 071118
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
618 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST
JUST OFFSHORE FROM THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. THE POWERFUL LOW
WILL PASS BY THE CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING
...AND PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION TO OFF CAPE HATTERAS BY SUNRISE
MONDAY. LOOKING AT HEAVY STRATIFORM RAINS WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH 1
TO 2 INCHES EAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR...AND ONE TENTH TO ONE HALF
INCHES WEST OF THE CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY N TO
NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. FOR MONDAY...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL. AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE
MONDAY NIGHT BEHIND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND WILL AFFECT
THE AREA THROUGH THE MID TO LATE WEEK PERIOD.

BROTAK WIND PROFILE TODAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE.
TYPE 1-B...MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 2100 FT AGL...DIRECTION NE...SPEED 56 MPH.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-080330-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
618 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          70           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          42           31           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 18 G36     N 19 G38     W  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 22 G40     NW 10 G23    SW 12 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.01         0.16         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       12           2            1
INVERSION             39/1000      2000         37/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        74           85           45
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1210                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 28                      SW 21
VENTILATION RATE      33880                     86100
ADI EARLY             40 FAIR      21 FAIR      23 FAIR
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  16 GEN POOR  62 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
20 TO 25 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-080330-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
618 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          50           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          42           30           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 15 G27     N 15 G26     W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 18 G29     NW  8        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.70         0.07         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       11           1            1
INVERSION             38/1000      2000         35/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        71           85           50
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1290                      4510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      SW 21
VENTILATION RATE      29670                     94710
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  21 FAIR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      12 POOR      62 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-080330-
ROBESON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LUMBERTON
618 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          30           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          43           30           54
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 14 G24     NW 11 G21    SW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 17 G26     W  4         SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.02         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       9            0            1
INVERSION             38/0900      2000         34/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        65           86           54
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            5            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1340                      4730
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 24                      SW 24
VENTILATION RATE      32160                     113520
ADI EARLY             40 FAIR      15 GEN POOR  24 FAIR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-080330-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
618 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          40           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          44           31           56
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 19 G36     NW 15 G34    SW  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 21 G37     W  7         SW 13 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.04         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       10           1            1
INVERSION             39/1000      2000         37/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        77           87           50
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1300                      4240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 26                      SW 22
VENTILATION RATE      33800                     93280
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              43 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       61 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-080330-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
618 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          0            30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          43           31           56
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 16 G27     NW 11 G21    SW  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 17 G29     W  5         SW 12 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       8                         1
INVERSION             38/1000      2000         36/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        72           87           51
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            5            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1310                      4810
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 24                      SW 23
VENTILATION RATE      31440                     110630
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      15 GEN POOR  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              37 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  73 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-080330-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
618 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          0            30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          46           30           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 13 G25     NW 10 G20    SW  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 15 G26     W  5         SW 12 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       7                         1
INVERSION             39/1000      2000         35/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        62           89           54
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            5            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1430                      4930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      SW 24
VENTILATION RATE      32890                     118320
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  27 FAIR
ADI LATE              37 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  75 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

DCH



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