Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
152
FNUS52 KILM 050640
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
240 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur today thru early in
the upcoming work-week due to the combination of several upper
level disturbances, diurnal heating, and the daily sea breeze. Dry
high pressure will finally build overhead late Tue with Bermuda
high pressure and the Piedmont trof combining to produce
well above normal temperatures Wed thru Fri. Showers and
thunderstorm chances increase towards the end of the week due to
an approaching frontal system and an upper low.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-052245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
240 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 30 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 81 65 83
Min/Max RH (%) 64 97 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 6 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 8 S 5 S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.13 0.04 0.07
Precip Duration 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4300
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59200 73100
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 10 Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 87 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-052245-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
240 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 81 65 84
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 5 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.23 0.05 0.11
Precip Duration 5 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 2000 68/0700
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 5100
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60800 71400
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 10 Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 8 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 85 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-052245-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
240 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 81 65 84
Min/Max RH (%) 65 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 5 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 S 4 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.33 0.08 0.14
Precip Duration 6 2 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 2000 68/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 75000
ADI Early 37 Fair 37 Fair 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 10 Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 8 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-052245-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
240 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 30 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 82 65 83
Min/Max RH (%) 65 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 6 S 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 S 4 S 7
Precip Amount 0.19 0.05 0.12
Precip Duration 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4700
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 65800
ADI Early 39 Fair 38 Fair 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 9 Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-052245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
240 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 82 64 84
Min/Max RH (%) 64 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.23 0.07 0.22
Precip Duration 5 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 4800
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 62400
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 36 Fair 39 Fair
ADI Late 50 Gen Good 8 Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-052245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
240 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 81 65 83
Min/Max RH (%) 67 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 5 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.30 0.09 0.22
Precip Duration 5 2 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 1900 68/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55500 70500
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 34 Fair 39 Fair
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 9 Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 8 8
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch