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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 181854
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
.DISCUSSION...
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WEAK LOW
PRESSURE ALOFT DRIFTS ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...WITH DAY AND NIGHT
TIME TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR NORMAL FOR MIDDLE MAY. BERMUDA
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE EAST COAST MID THROUGH LATE
WEEK...BRINGING A DRYING AND WARMING TREND.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.
NCZ105>110-191100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 10 30 40 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 3 3 4
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 81 66 80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 7 S 6 S 10 S 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 7 S 11 S 8 S 12 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.08 0.21 0.37
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 6
INVERSION 2100 75/1100 2100 74/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 93 63 95 64
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4340 4470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 S 17
VENTILATION RATE 69440 75990
ADI EARLY 35 FAIR 35 FAIR 36 FAIR 44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 11 POOR 47 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-191100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 4 4 4
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 82 66 81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 6 S 8 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 10 S 6 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.37 0.18 0.42 0.46
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 2 6
INVERSION 2100 73/1100 2100 72/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 62 99 65
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5200 4790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 S 14
VENTILATION RATE 78000 67060
ADI EARLY 34 FAIR 33 FAIR 36 FAIR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 7 POOR 47 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 41 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 6 3 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-191100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 30 40 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 3 3 4
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 82 66 81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 7 S 6 S 10 S 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 11 G20 S 7 S 11
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.10 0.25 0.37
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 6
INVERSION 2100 75/1100 2100 73/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 91 68 98 69
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4430 4520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 S 16
VENTILATION RATE 70880 72320
ADI EARLY 34 FAIR 33 FAIR 39 FAIR 37 FAIR
ADI LATE 8 POOR 51 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 48 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 6 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-191100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 60 60 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 4 4 4
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 83 66 82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 6 S 8 S 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 9 S 6 SW 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.51 0.38 0.51 0.42
PRECIP DURATION 2 3 4 5
INVERSION 2100 72/1100 2100 70/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 94 63 100 65
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5390 4960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 SW 12
VENTILATION RATE 80850 59520
ADI EARLY 41 GEN GOOD 29 FAIR 36 FAIR 20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 7 POOR 47 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 6 3 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-191100-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 3 3 4
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 82 66 82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE 5 S 5 S 9 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 4 S 10 S 6 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.29 0.28 0.42 0.42
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 2 5
INVERSION 2100 73/1000 2100 71/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 94 63 100 65
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5170 4830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 S 13
VENTILATION RATE 72380 62790
ADI EARLY 35 FAIR 30 FAIR 36 FAIR 28 FAIR
ADI LATE 6 VERY POOR 48 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 40 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 6 3 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
8
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- Page last modified: May 1st, 2013 15:32 UTC