Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 302044
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
444 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...DRAGGING A STRONG COLD FRONT
ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF
PRECIPITATION FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD AIR MASS
WILL SURGE SOUTH FRIDAY EVENING AND FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN
GRADUALLY CHANGING OVER TO SNOW INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE COLD
WEATHER WILL HOLD THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE THREAT OF BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES FRIDAY...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHTS. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRING A WARMING TREND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-311345-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG
444 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER LATE IN THE
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....76.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (76100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 INCHES.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY. SNOW SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (60100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.

$$

KYZ086-104-106>117-119-311345-
KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ
444 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER LATE IN THE
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....64.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (63900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.16 INCHES.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY. SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.13 - 0.30 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....71.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (71000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.15 INCHES.

$$

KYZ087-088-118-120-311345-
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
444 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER LATE IN THE
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (62700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 INCHES.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 - 0.35 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-42.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....59.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (58600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 - 0.19 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE AND A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY...THEN AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE
LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MILDER. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MILDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP





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