Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 211100
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
600 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A THREAT FOR RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN MILD THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY...BUT THIS
WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS ANOTHER FRONT AND STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING
RAIN CHANCES TO THE REGION THURSDAY AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-212315-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
600 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           70           10
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.10         0.12         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            9
PRECIP BEGINS         7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      75 (-4)      58 (+4)      74
RH % (24H TREND)      56 (+26)     90 (-2)      42
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 2-6                     NW 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 4-8       W 3-7        N 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    1793                      1677
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5884                      5501
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1879                      1764
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   6165                      5787
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  7                     N  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     N 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     13153                     12348
CATEGORY DAY          4                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73                        67
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  5                     N  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 12                     N 19
DISPERSION INDEX      48           22           63
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3            3            4
STABILITY             C            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      0            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-212315-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
600 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           70           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.07         0.18         0.02
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            9            1
PRECIP BEGINS         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      78 (-2)      60 (+5)      76
RH % (24H TREND)      52 (+19)     92 (+5)      46
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 2-6                     NW 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 5-9       LGT/VAR      N 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    1824                      1753
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5983                      5751
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1886                      1815
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   6187                      5955
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  6                     N  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     11316                     14520
CATEGORY DAY          4                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 74                        69
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  6                     N  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 14                     N 17
DISPERSION INDEX      48           20           57
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             C            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      0            1            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-051-212315-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-CROCKETT-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
600 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           70           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.04         0.15         0.01
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            8            1
PRECIP BEGINS         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      77 (-1)      59 (+9)      74
RH % (24H TREND)      48 (+19)     92 (-2)      46
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 2-6                     NW 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 5-9       SW 3-7       N 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    2207                      1596
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7242                      5235
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    2327                      1715
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   7636                      5628
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  5                     N  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     N 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     11635                     15435
CATEGORY DAY          4                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 74                        66
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  5                     N  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 12                     N 19
DISPERSION INDEX      45           20           63
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  4            3            3
STABILITY             B            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      0            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>050-052>055-088>091-212315-
CHESTER-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LAUDERDALE-
MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
600 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           70           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.03         0.15         0.02
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            8            2
PRECIP BEGINS         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      78 (-1)      59 (+9)      75
RH % (24H TREND)      46 (+18)     96 (+5)      47
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 3-7                     NW 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 5-9       SW 3-7       N 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    2200                      1697
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7219                      5566
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    2322                      1818
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   7619                      5965
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  6                     N  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     N 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     13932                     16362
CATEGORY DAY          4                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73                        67
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  6                     N  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 14                     N 18
DISPERSION INDEX      45           20           55
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  4            3            3
STABILITY             B            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      0            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-212315-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
600 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.04         0.14         0.03
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            8            2
PRECIP BEGINS         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      79 (0)       61 (+9)      77
RH % (24H TREND)      48 (+14)     91 (-2)      49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 3-7                     LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 5-9       SW 2-6       N 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    2346                      1927
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7696                      6321
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    2417                      1998
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   7931                      6556
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  8                     N  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     N 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     19336                     15984
CATEGORY DAY          5                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75                        70
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  7                     N  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 17                     N 16
DISPERSION INDEX      59           25           54
LAL                   3            4            4
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             C            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      0            0            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND
80. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-212315-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
600 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           60           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.01         0.07         0.05
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            8            2
PRECIP BEGINS         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      80 (+2)      59 (+9)      77
RH % (24H TREND)      43 (+14)     95 (+2)      51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 2-6                     LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 5-9       SW 2-6       NW 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    2229                      1791
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7312                      5876
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    2353                      1915
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   7719                      6282
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  6                     N  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     14118                     15320
CATEGORY DAY          4                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73                        69
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  7                     NW  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 15                     NW 15
DISPERSION INDEX      46           22           55
LAL                   3            4            4
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             B            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      1            0            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND
80. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

JLH





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