Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 220727
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
327 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The ridge of high pressure over the southern Appalachians will weaken
allowing a cold front to move into the area late tonight and Wednesday.
After a mostly dry conditions today, increasing chances of showers and
thunderstorms are expected through Wednesday.  Drier weather can be
expected after Wednesday.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230830-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
327 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (-3)   64-69 (0)    74-79
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (+3)   95-100 (+5)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G17                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G21    SW  8 G19    NW  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           50           60
Precip duration       1            3            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.26         0.12
LAL                   3            4            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7300                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     NW  8
Dispersion            73 Good                   18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G21    SW  9 G19    NW  8

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. North winds
up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230830-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
327 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      80-85 (-1)   63-68 (+2)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-4)   95-100 (+3)  65-70
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G15     SW  6 G18    NW  7 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.12         0.21
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    8000                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      NW  9
Dispersion            53 Gen good               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  6                      NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  9         SW  7 G18    NW  9

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-230830-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
327 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (0)    62-67 (+1)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-4)   95-100 (+4)  66-71
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G18    SW  9 G25    NW  7 G15
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           40           70
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.13         0.39
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    8100                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     NW  9
Dispersion            54 Gen good               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  8                     NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G18    SW 10 G25    NW  9

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-230830-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
327 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      85-90 (-2)   64-69 (+1)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-1)   95-100 (+2)  62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G15    SW  6 G15    NW  8 G15
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.06         0.39
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7600                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     NW  9
Dispersion            49 Gen good               24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6                     NW  6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8        SW  7 G15    NW  9

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
East winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-230830-
Nantahala National Forest-
327 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   63-68 (+2)   78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-3)   95-100 (0)   61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.37
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW  9
DISPERSION            42 Gen good               24 Fair
MAX LVORI             4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  5        NW  8

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. North winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230830-
East Tennessee District East-
327 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      86-91 (-1)   66-71 (+2)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (+1)   95-100 (+1)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5 G17                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G21    SW  6        NW  6
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            40           60
Precip duration                    1            2
Precip begin                       Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.17         0.18
LAL                   1            4            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7600                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     NW  7
Dispersion            76 Good                   15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G21    SW  7        NW  8

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230830-
East Tennessee District West-
327 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      86-91 (0)    66-71 (-1)   78-83
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (0)    95-100 (+6)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5 G16                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G20    SW  7 G16    N  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           60           60
Precip duration       1            3            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.20         0.17
LAL                   3            4            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7400                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     N  8
Dispersion            78 Good                   24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G16                 N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G20    SW  8 G16    N  8

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-230830-
Cumberland District South-
327 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 /227 AM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      87-92 (0)    67-72 (-1)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-2)   95-100 (+9)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7        SW  5        N  7
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.08         0.31
LAL                   3            4            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7200                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     N  9
Dispersion            62 Good                   28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6                     NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9        SW  7        N  8

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Northeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.

$$


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