Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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935
FNUS54 KMRX 160837
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
337 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure continues to build into the Southern
Appalachian Region...allowing for temperatures to continue to warm
up. The next chance for rain will be tomorrow.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170945-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (+12)  27-32 (+6)   43-48
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-19)  88-93 (+9)   46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G19                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G19    LGT/VAR      S  5 G17
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            50
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    10 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4800                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2700                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     SW  8
Dispersion            35 Fair                   8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G19                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      S  6 G17

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s to lower 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170945-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (+15)  28-33 (+8)   45-50
RH % (24h trend)      30-35 (-32)  70-75 (-9)   34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  5 G17                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  6 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            40
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    10 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4900                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2100                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)   W 13                      SW  6
Dispersion            21 Fair                   4 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  7 G17                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  5 G22

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower to mid 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-170945-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (+17)  29-34 (+10)  46-51
RH % (24h trend)      22-27 (-34)  65-70 (-12)  25-30
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      S 11 G43
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            60
Precip duration                                 2
Precip begin                                    10 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4800                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1800                      600
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      S 15
Dispersion            14 Gen poor               5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6                     S  7 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G16    SW  5        S 14 G43

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 5 to
15 mph after midnight.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-170945-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+18)  28-33 (+11)  47-52
RH % (24h trend)      29-34 (-27)  90-95 (+14)  37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  9 G30
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            70
Precip duration                                 2
Precip begin                                    10 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      2500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2200                      500
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      S 13
Dispersion            11 Poor                   4 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SE 12 G30

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs in the
50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-170945-
Nantahala National Forest-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

CLOUD COVER           Clear        PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+18)  26-31 (+11)  48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-27)  95-100 (+20) 36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G23
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM
PRECIP END                                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3000
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   2300                      700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S  9
DISPERSION            10 Poor                   4 Very poor
MAX LVORI             7                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  9 G23

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs in the
50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170945-
East Tennessee District East-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+13)  25-30 (+3)   43-48
RH % (24h trend)      33-38 (-21)  95-100 (+17) 48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            50
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    10 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2900                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW  3
Dispersion            29 Fair                   4 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s to lower 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower to mid 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170945-
East Tennessee District West-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+13)  28-33 (+6)   43-48
RH % (24h trend)      32-37 (-16)  88-93 (+11)  52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5 G19
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            60
Precip duration                                 2
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      2600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2700                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     S  9
Dispersion            28 Fair                   10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      S  6 G19

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-170945-
Cumberland District South-
337 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017 /237 AM CST Sat Dec 16 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+14)  29-34 (+8)   45-50
RH % (24h trend)      32-37 (-14)  86-91 (+10)  54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            70
Precip duration                                 2
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3600                      2200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2500                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9                     S  9
Dispersion            19 Gen poor               8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5 G15

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower to mid 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs near 60.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs near 60.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the 50s to lower 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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