Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 221559
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1059 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG
OR MARGINALLY SEVERE WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING...DAMAGING WINDS...
HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING.
BANDS OF HEAVIER RAIN WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH
LOCALIZED FLOODING A CONCERN.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231700-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1059 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   43-48 (-3)   48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-10)  95-100 (-2)  76-81
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5 G17                  N  6 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  9 G27     E 11 G28     NW 11 G28
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          90
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         1.05         0.44
LAL                   2            3            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     NW 14
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6 G17                  N  8 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G27     E 14 G28     NW 14 G28

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231700-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1059 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   40-45 (-5)   46-51
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-14)  95-100 (-1)  73-78
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G41                 N  8 G28
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G25    E 11 G29     NW 15 G37
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         1.14         0.65
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     NW 18
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   38 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G41                 N 10 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G25    E 13 G29     NW 18 G37

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-231700-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1059 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   40-45 (-7)   46-51
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-12)  95-100 (0)   74-79
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G28                  NW 16 G41
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G27    E  9 G27     NW 17 G41
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          90
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         1.13         0.84
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NW 33
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   68 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G28                  NW 20 G41
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G27    E 12 G27     NW 21 G41

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-231700-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1059 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   43-48 (-6)   47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-8)   95-100 (0)   72-77
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G20                  NW 15 G35
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G25     NE 11 G30    NW 15 G33
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.75         0.33
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      NW 32
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               69 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G20                  NW 19 G35
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 10 G25     NE 13 G30    NW 18 G33

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-231700-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1059 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   42-47 (-5)   47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-10)  95-100 (0)   74-79
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G21                 NW 15 G36
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  9 G29     E  9 G33     NW 15 G35
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.64         0.28
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      NW 33
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   81 GOOD
MAX LVORI             5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G21                 NW 19 G36
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G29     E 12 G33     NW 19 G35

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1059 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    44-49 (-3)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-17)  93-98 (-4)   72-77
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7 G26                  NW  9 G29
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  9 G22     NE 10 G28    W 14 G31
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          90
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         1.15         0.47
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     NW 20
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  9 G26                  NW 11 G29
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G22     NE 13 G28    W 18 G31

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1059 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    46-51 (-2)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  95-100 (+1)  70-75
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G31
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G20     NE  8 G22    NW 14 G32
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          80
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.89         0.24
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     NW 29
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   70 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      NW 17 G31
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 10 G20     NE 10 G22    NW 17 G32

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-231700-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1059 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017 /959 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2017/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    45-50 (-4)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-4)   95-100 (0)   67-72
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G24                 NW 16 G37
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G20     N 10 G26     NW 14 G33
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           60
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.41         0.08
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      NW 33
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               70 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G24                 NW 21 G37
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 10 G20     N 12 G26     NW 18 G33

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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