Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 280733
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EXIT THE REGION THIS
MORNING ENDING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS.  A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FOR
WEDNESDAY PRODUCING DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS.  ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM
WILL MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY FOR THURSDAY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290845-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (-4)   45-50 (-5)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (-1)   95-100 (+3)  39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           20           0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM
Precip amount         0.09         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   W 13                      NE  8
Dispersion            28 Fair                   28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G16     NW  6        N  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290845-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (-3)   44-49 (-4)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (-2)   92-97 (0)    38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  9 G23                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G21     NW  6 G17    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5700                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)   W 20                      N  7
Dispersion            49 Gen good               22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 11 G23                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 11 G21     NW  8 G17    N  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-290845-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (0)    44-49 (-5)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-7)   95-100 (+3)  40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 11 G30                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G23     NW  5 G15    NW  5
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            8 PM
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5600                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)   W 20                      NE  5
Dispersion            42 Gen good               13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 14 G30                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 11 G23     NW  7 G15    NW  6

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-290845-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (0)    45-50 (-8)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-5)   95-100 (+5)  35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G20                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            4 PM
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 16                      N  5
Dispersion            41 Gen good               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 10 G18     N  5         NW  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s
to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-290845-
Nantahala National Forest-
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    43-48 (-7)   73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-9)   95-100 (+2)  35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G20                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G22     NW  5 G16    W  5
PRECIP TYPE           showers      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM
PRECIP END            4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N  2
DISPERSION            38 Fair                   9 Poor
MAX LVORI             4                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW  6 G16    W  6

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290845-
East Tennessee District East-
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (-4)   46-51 (-5)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+1)   95-100 (+2)  38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  9 G21                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            8 PM
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 17                      NE  8
Dispersion            44 Gen good               29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 11 G21                  NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 10 G19     LGT/VAR      N  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290845-
East Tennessee District West-
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (-2)   47-52 (-7)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (-6)   94-99 (+6)   38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  7 G17                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            4 PM
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      NE  7
Dispersion            43 Gen good               28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 10 G17                  NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G17     NW  5        NE  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s
to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-290845-
Cumberland District South-
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017 /233 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (-3)   46-51 (-8)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-4)   95-100 (+4)  38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            4 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4500                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      NE  6
Dispersion            42 Gen good               20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  9 G16                  NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G18    N  5         LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.

$$



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