Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 210703
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
303 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather with warmer temperatures can be expected this
weekend as high pressure shifts east and southerly flow develops
across the area. Rain chances increase early next week as low
pressure moves into the region and a cold front bring much colder
temperatures.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220815-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
303 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (0)    46-51 (+2)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      31-36 (0)    89-94 (-1)   37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4900                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2800                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7                      S 10
Dispersion            16 Gen poor               21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  7

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220815-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
303 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (-1)   45-50 (-2)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      32-37 (+1)   86-91 (0)    44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    SE  7 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2600                      1600
Transport wnd (mph)   S  8                      SE 15
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        SE  7 G15    SE  8

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-220815-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
303 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (-1)   47-52 (+1)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      31-36 (+3)   79-84 (-5)   41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G16    S  7 G16
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2100                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)   S  6                      SE 13
Dispersion            9 Poor                    14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    S  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers, cooler. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows around 40. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-220815-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
303 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (-1)   48-53 (+6)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      28-33 (-1)   89-94 (-4)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         SE  6 G17    S  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2600                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SE 16
Dispersion            25 Fair                   32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7         SE  7 G17    S 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s to
mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows around 40. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to
upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-220815-
Nantahala National Forest-
303 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

CLOUD COVER           MClear       MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   46-51 (+7)   68-73
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   92-97 (-1)   50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        SE  8 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   3000                      2100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE 14
DISPERSION            25 Fair                   25 Fair
MAX LVORI             4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  6        SE 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s to
mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220815-
East Tennessee District East-
303 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (-1)   46-51 (+2)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      32-37 (+2)   89-94 (-6)   37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3800                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2300                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   S  5                      SE 10
Dispersion            9 Poor                    25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  7

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220815-
East Tennessee District West-
303 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (-1)   48-53 (+4)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      31-36 (-2)   86-91 (-7)   43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2100                      3100
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7                      S 10
Dispersion            13 Gen poor               28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers, cooler. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-220815-
Cumberland District South-
303 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017 /203 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (-1)   50-55 (+5)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      32-37 (+1)   88-93 (-3)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         SE  5        S  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2800                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      S 17
Dispersion            30 Fair                   47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7         SE  6        S 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower to mid 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s to
mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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