Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 311446
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...UPDATE TO INCREASE POPS ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN VALLEY
AND INTO SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION
ON HALLOWEEN...BRINGING A COLD WIND AND LIGHT RAIN. RAIN WILL CHANGE
OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
UNSEASONABLY COLD THIS WEEKEND...BUT A QUICK WARMING TREND WILL
DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011600-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   28-33 (-5)   33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   95-100 (+1)  67-72
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6         NW 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            6
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.33         0.20
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 26
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  8 G15     NW 13 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011600-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-6)   26-31 (-6)   28-33
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+8)   95-100 (+3)  74-79
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  7 G16     NW 12 G23
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.45         0.31
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 28
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     W  9 G21     NW 15 G28

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-011600-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   25-30 (-7)   30-35
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+7)   95-100 (+5)  66-71
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G25
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G17    NW 10 G19    NW 12 G23
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            6
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.46         0.21
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     N 32
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               81 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 16 G31
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G22    NW 12 G24    NW 15 G29

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-011600-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   28-33 (-6)   37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   93-98 (+2)   51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 12 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW  9 G17    NW 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.27         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     N 33
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   104 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 15 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    NW 11 G21    NW 14 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-011600-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-6)   28-33 (-4)   37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+10)  95-100 (+6)  51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  9 G18    NW 13 G24
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.19         0.10
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     N 35
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   102 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      NW 17 G31
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW 11 G23    NW 16 G30

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011600-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-6)   29-34 (-4)   35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+8)   92-97 (-3)   62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  7         NW 10 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          80
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            6
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.23         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 25
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     W  9 G18     NW 13 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011600-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   29-34 (-6)   36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   89-94 (-3)   58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G19    NW 10 G21    NW 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           60
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.15         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NW 28
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   73 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G24    NW 13 G26    NW 12 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011600-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   29-34 (-7)   40-45
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   84-89 (-5)   50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 12 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G20    NW 12 G22    NW 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     N 33
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               108 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 16 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G25    NW 14 G28    NW 14 G26

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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