Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 082029
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
329 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW TONIGHT AS ARCTIC AIR
SURGES INTO THE REGION. ARCTIC AIR AND PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS
AND FLURRIES WILL HANG AROUND THROUGH MID-WEEK. DANGEROUS WIND
CHILLS LIKELY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
329 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-8)   25-30 (-13)  15-20        20-25
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+4)   55-60 (-1)   80-85        47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G15                  W  8 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  8 G15     W  7         W 11 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           50           50
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.12         0.06         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      7200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 18
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               83 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  W 11 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W 10 G19     W  9 G16     W 14 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 4 TO 14. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 17 TO 28. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS 14 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS 12 TO 24. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-10)  22-27 (-14)  12-17        18-23
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+9)   55-60 (+3)   85-90        49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  W 11 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W 10 G19     NW  9 G16    W 14 G24
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           70           60
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.12         0.09         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      7500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 24
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               97 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  W 13 G27
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W 12 G24     NW 11 G20    W 17 G30

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 5 TO 12. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 18 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 2. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 13 TO 27.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-092130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
329 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-11)  22-27 (-17)  10-15        18-23
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+5)   55-60 (+9)   92-97        43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G23                  W 11 G25
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     W 10 G22     W  8 G18     W 14 G28
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.11         0.10         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      7100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 26
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               82 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G28                  W 14 G31
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G25     W 13 G28     W 10 G23     W 18 G35

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 1 BELOW TO 12 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS 18 TO 29. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-092130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-8)   25-30 (-19)  13-18        23-28
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   52-57 (+13)  82-87        39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  W  8 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  8 G16     W  7         W 11 G21
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           20
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.05         0.06         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 20
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G20                  W 10 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W 10 G20     W  9 G18     W 14 G27

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 5 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. NOT
AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-092130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
329 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-6)   25-30 (-18)  13-18        23-28
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-8)   52-57 (+12)  82-87        39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     W  7 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  8 G15     W  6         W 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           20
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.04         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 21
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   78 GOOD
MAX LVORI                          3                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 W  9 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W 10 G19     W  8 G15     W 14 G26

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 12. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. NOT
AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
329 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-8)   26-31 (-16)  16-21        22-27
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    51-56 (+4)   77-82        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      W  8 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  7         W  6         W 11 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           40           30
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.08         0.04         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 20
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               93 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  W 10 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W  9 G17     W  8         W 14 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 14. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 14 TO 28. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
329 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-9)   27-32 (-16)  15-20        23-28
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-7)   48-53 (+4)   75-80        39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  W  8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  8 G15     W  7         W 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           20
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.03         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 18
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  W 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W 10 G19     W  9 G17     W 13 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 14. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
329 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016 /229 PM CST MON FEB 8 2016/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-9)   27-32 (-16)  15-20        26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-6)   46-51 (+4)   75-80        33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8                     W  8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W  8         NW  8 G16    W  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 20
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               75 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 W 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W 11 G19     NW 11 G20    W 12 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 7 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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