Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 281200
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
500 AM MST WED SEP 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTERACTING WITH MONSOON MOISTURE WILL KEEP
STORM CHANCES GOING INTO FRIDAY...MAINLY FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...WITH BEST CHANCES THURSDAY. WINDS WILL TEND TO FAVOR
SOUTHERLY AND EASTERLY DIRECTIONS AT MOST PLACES THROUGH THURSDAY.
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 20 PERCENT ON THE LOW DESERTS
THROUGH THURSDAY WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-290000-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
500 AM MST WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................88-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-28 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 12 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................69-79.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................53-63 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS . SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................87-93.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................26-32 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 1 KT.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........MARGINAL.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 67-77. HIGHS 90-96. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65-75. HIGHS 90-96. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 61-71. HIGHS 88-93. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-69. HIGHS 84-90.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 59-69. HIGHS 85-89.

$$

AZZ133-290000-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
500 AM MST WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................75-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................28-40 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................53-70.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................59-89 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-88.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................31-44 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 51-70. HIGHS 77-90. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-70. HIGHS 78-91. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-68. HIGHS 76-89. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-65. HIGHS 75-87.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-65. HIGHS 74-86.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-290000-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
500 AM MST WED SEP 28 2016 /500 AM PDT WED SEP 28 2016/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-27 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 1 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........12000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHEAST 2 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............MARGINAL.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................70-74.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................49-59 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................93-97.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-28 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........10500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 68-74. HIGHS 94-98. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 66-74. HIGHS 94-98. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 61-70. HIGHS 90-94. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-65. HIGHS 85-89.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 58-66. HIGHS 85-91.

$$

CAZ230-290000-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
500 AM PDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-88.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................26-37 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................65-71.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................42-52 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS . SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-90.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-32 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-70. HIGHS 83-92. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 57-70. HIGHS 81-91. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 53-65. HIGHS 74-86. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-62. HIGHS 70-81.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-62. HIGHS 72-81.

$$

CAZ232-290000-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
500 AM PDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................87-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-31 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................69-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................47-61 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-96.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-28 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 68-73. HIGHS 91-97. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 65-73. HIGHS 90-98. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 60-70. HIGHS 85-93. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-64. HIGHS 80-88.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 59-65. HIGHS 81-88.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 5TH THROUGH FRIDAY OCTOBER
7TH...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.


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