Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 311559
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR RIVER FIRE...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
959 AM CST SUN JAN 31 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0947 CST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TREND TO NORTHEAST AND FOR THE REST OF TODAY
...WITH SPEEDS REMAINING BELOW 15 MPH.  WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST THIS
EVENING...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING SLIGHTLY. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2 TO
                    7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     49     54     56     53
RH..............62     48     38     35     39
20 FT WIND......N 12   N 9    NE 8   NE 7   E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      3      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     45     41     39     37     35
RH..............41     53     62     67     72     82
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 13   E 14   SE 14  SE 14  SE 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      3      3      3

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 40 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 26 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 9000 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO
                    11000-12500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 32
                    TO 40 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............33     33     42     50     54     55
RH..............89     89     60     44     35     31
20 FT WIND......SE 15  SE 15  SE 17  S 21   SW 24  SW 25
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25     30     40     40
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...COCKRELL
REQUESTED BY...TEXAS A M FOREST SERVICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160131.RIVER.01/AMA


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