Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FNUS74 KBMX 041244
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTT LAKE BLOCK B...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
744 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 04.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MUCH COOLER AND OVERALL DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH A
SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCE WILL SLIDE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AND
PROVIDE A BRIEF 3 TO 6 HOUR WINDOW FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS
MAINLY AFTER 6 PM. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AS
WELL. WARMING TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE AREA. NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.

.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR CLEAR  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     62     68     71     72
RH..............90     60     45     39     39
20 FT WIND......NW 3   NW 7   NW 9   NW 12  W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   5700   7000   7500   7600
TRANSPORT WIND..320/10 320/16 300/16 300/16 290/18
DISPERSION......5      11     56     57     66
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      10

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     64     57     54     51     49
RH..............45     64     78     83     90     91
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 7    W 5    NW 5   NW 5   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....6900   4400   1400   1600   1600   800
TRANSPORT WIND..280/23 270/20 280/10 330/16 340/16 320/8
DISPERSION......80     57     19     11     7      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     20     10     10

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     51     58     64     67     68
RH..............97     76     56     44     38     38
20 FT WIND......NW 6   NW 8   NW 13  NW 15  NW 16  NW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     25     25     30     25
MIX HGT (FT)....100    2300   6400   7200   7100   6700
TRANSPORT WIND..310/8  310/15 310/25 310/26 310/26 320/28
DISPERSION......4      10     34     93     93     95
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...AARON
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY BRAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.SCOTT.01/BMX



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