Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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053
FNUS74 KBMX 141330
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARYS CR 500S...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
730 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 14.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. RH VALUES WILL DROP TO
AROUND 30 PRECENT THIS AFTERNOON BUT INCREASE AS A STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     40     45     48     46
RH..............46     39     35     34     41
20 FT WIND......E 7    SE 7   SE 8   SE 8   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   2100   2500   2500   1800
TRANSPORT WIND..130/12 140/15 150/16 160/15 150/18
DISPERSION......13     39     35     32     34
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
TEMP............45     42     40     39     39     39
RH..............44     51     61     71     71     77
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1100   900    700    600    500
TRANSPORT WIND..150/20 150/17 150/14 150/14 150/14 150/14
DISPERSION......32     24     17     12     12     12
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     20

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............39     43     46     49     50     50
RH..............87     83     85     89     86     87
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 7   SE 8   S 9    S 8    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....500    600    700    800    900    800
TRANSPORT WIND..150/15 150/14 160/12 160/12 160/12 160/14
DISPERSION......12     11     10     14     14     16
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     60     80     100    100    100

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160214.MARYS.01/BMX



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