Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 172044
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEARCH AND RESCUE...GILPIN COUNTY SO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
244 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1431 MDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH
8 PM MDT. GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEST WINDS OF 5 TO 15 MPH
ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES AROUND 12000 FEET WILL FALL INTO THE
40S TONIGHT.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........25%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7-15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12300-13300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........62%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 7800 FT AGL
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN 4900 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    2100-3100 FT AGL UNTIL 0100...THEN 4200-5100 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN 5900-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR UNTIL
                    0100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0300...THEN GOOD.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SEARCH AND RESCUE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

08/17-14 50 15  3 69 25 WNW 10 16 4 3 WNW 12 13688 WNW 14158774     E
08/17-15 65 21  4 69 25 WNW 10 16 4 3 WNW 10 13824 WNW 13154533     E
08/17-16 60 21  4 68 26 WNW  9 15 4 3 WNW 12 12803 WNW 14147338    V
08/17-17 56 18  4 65 28 WNW  8 13 3 3 WNW 13 11783 WNW 14140143    V
08/17-18 51 15  3 62 31   W  7  7 3 3 WNW 14 10762 WNW 14132948    V
08/17-19 46 10  2 59 35   W  7  7 4 2 WNW 15  7814 WNW 13 94873   G
08/17-20 40  9  2 55 42   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 16  4866   W 13 56799  F
08/17-21 34  7  1 52 48 WSW  7  7 5 1  NW 16  1918   W 12 18724 P
08/17-22 29  0  0 50 51   W  7  7 4 1  NW 15  2389   W 12 25516 P
08/17-23 23  0  0 49 51   W  6  6 4 1  NW 14  2859 WNW 13 32309 P
08/18-00 23  0  0 48 52   W  6  6 3 1  NW 13  3330 WNW 14 39101 P
08/18-01 23  0  0 47 53   W  7  7 3 1  NW 13  4206 WNW 13 46156  F
08/18-02 23  0  0 47 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 12  5083 WNW 13 53210  F
08/18-03 22  0  0 46 56   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 12  5959 WNW 12 60265   G
08/18-04 22  0  0 44 60   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 12  5940 WNW 12 60396   G
08/18-05 22  0  0 43 62   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 13  5921 WNW 12 60528   G
08/18-06 27  0  0 44 60   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 14  5902 WNW 12 60659   G
08/18-07 32  0  0 48 52   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 15  6754 WNW 13 75796   G
08/18-08 37  0  0 54 42   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 16  7607 WNW 14 90933   G
08/18-09 42  0  0 59 36   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 17  8460 WNW 15106069    V
08/18-10 46  0  0 62 33   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 16  9632 WNW 14116230    V
08/18-11 51  0  0 64 31 WNW  6  6 3 1   W 14 10804   W 14126390    V
08/18-12 54 19  4 65 30 WNW  6  6 3 3   W 13 11975   W 13136551    V
08/18-13 57 21  4 65 30 WNW  7  7 3 3   W 13 11772   W 13129073    V
08/18-14 59 23  5 65 30 WNW  7  7 3 3   W 13 11568   W 12121596    V
08/18-15 62 25  5 64 31 WNW  8 13 3 4   W 12 11365   W 12114119    V
08/18-16 62 25  5 63 33 WNW  8  8 3 4   W 12 10386   W 12101125    V
08/18-17 62 25  5 61 36 WNW  7  7 3 4   W 12  9407   W 10 88131   G
08/18-18 50 40 18 60 38 WNW  6  6 3 3   W 12  8429   W 10 75137   G
08/18-19 50 40 18 56 44   W  6  6 3 3   W 12  6234 WSW 10 54958  F
08/18-20 50 40 18 53 51  SW  6  6 3 3   W 10  4038 SSW  9 34779 P
08/18-21 50 40 18 51 56 SSW  6  6 3 3   W 10  1843   S  9 14600 P
08/18-22 50 40 18 49 63   S  6  6 3 3   W 10  1444   S  9 11749 P
08/18-23 50 40 18 48 67   S  6  6 3 3  SW 10  1044   S 10  8899 P
08/19-00 48  8  2 48 68   S  6  6 3 1  SW 10   644   S 10  6048 P
08/19-01 48  8  2 47 70   S  7  7 3 1  SW 13  1285   S 12 13243 P
08/19-02 48  8  2 47 69 SSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 14  1926 SSW 12 20437 P
08/19-03 48  8  2 46 69  SW  8 13 3 1 WSW 14  2567 SSW 13 27632 P
08/19-04 48  8  2 45 70  SW  8 14 3 1 WSW 14  2969  SW 12 28510 P
08/19-05 48  8  2 44 71  SW  8 14 3 1   W 12  3372  SW 10 29387 P
08/19-06 56  8  1 45 68 WSW  8 13 3 1   W 10  3775 WSW  9 30265 P
08/19-07 56  8  1 48 61  SW  7  7 3 1   W  7  3942 WSW  8 26980 P
08/19-08 56  8  1 53 52  SW  7  7 3 1   W  5  4109   W  7 23695 P
08/19-09 56 20  1 57 46  SW  6  6 3 1   W  3  4276   W  6 20410 P
08/19-10 56 20  1 60 42  SW  6  6 3 1  SW  5  5767 WSW  6 33013 P
08/19-11 56 20  1 61 42 SSW  6  6 3 1   S  6  7257   S  7 45617  F
08/19-12 75 27 14 62 41 SSW  6  6 3 4  SE  9  8747  SE  8 58220  F
08/19-13 75 27 14 62 41 SSW  7  7 3 4  SE 12  8284  SE 10 75510   G
08/19-14 75 27 14 61 43 SSW  8 13 3 4 SSE 16  7820 SSE 14 92799   G
08/19-15 75 46 14 60 45 SSW  9 15 3 4 SSE 20  7357 SSE 17110089    V
08/19-16 75 46 14 59 47 SSW  9 15 3 4 SSE 22  6687 SSE 18106277    V
08/19-17 75 46 14 57 51 SSW  9 14 2 4 SSE 23  6018 SSE 20102465    V
08/19-18 86 37 20 55 55 SSW  8 13 2 4   S 24  5348 SSE 21 98654   G
08/19-19 86 37 20 53 59 SSW  8 13 2 4   S 26  4074   S 20 73257   G
08/19-20 86 37 20 51 64  SW  8 13 2 4   S 28  2801   S 18 47860  F
08/19-21 86 21 20 49 70  SW  8  8 2 4   S 29  1527 SSW 17 22463 P
08/19-22 86 21 20 48 73  SW  8 13 2 4   S 30  1359 SSW 16 19015 P
08/19-23 86 21 20 47 76 WSW  8 13 2 4   S 31  1191  SW 15 15566 P
08/20-00 45  9  2 47 77 WSW  8 13 2 1   S 31  1022 WSW 14 12118 P
08/20-01 45  9  2 47 76 WSW  8 14 2 1   S 30  1123 WSW 16 15690 P
08/20-02 45  9  2 46 79 WSW  9 14 2 1  SW 26  1224   W 17 19262 P
08/20-03 45  9  2 45 81   W  9 15 2 1   W 24  1325   W 20 22834 P
08/20-04 45  9  2 44 83   W  9 16 2 1   W 22  1368   W 25 30151 P
08/20-05 45  9  2 43 86   W 10 16 2 1   W 21  1412   W 30 37468 P
08/20-06 56 17  3 44 82   W 10 16 2 3   W 20  1456   W 36 44785  F
08/20-07 56 17  3 47 74   W 10 16   3
08/20-08 56 17  3 50 67   W 10 16   3
08/20-09 56 17  3 54 58   W 10 16   3
08/20-10 56 17  3 56 54   W 10 16   3
08/20-11 56 17  3 57 53   W  9 15   3
08/20-12 72 37 12 57 51   W  9  9   4
08/20-13 72 37 12 58 51   W  9  9   4
08/20-14 72 37 12 58 50   W  8  8   4
08/20-15 72 37 12 57 52   W  8  8   4
08/20-16 72 37 12 55 53   W  7  7   4
08/20-17 72 37 12 53 57   W  7  7   4
08/20-18 68 30  5 50 61   W  7  7   4

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20140817.SEARC.01/BOU



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