Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 251911
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for 676 Trail...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
111 PM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1400 MDT on July 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds out of the southwest will continue through this evening and
remain around 10 mph or less. Smoke plume will be carried off to
the northeast and generally very good dispersal conditions are
expected through the daylight hours. There is a slight chance of
thunderstorms, but coverage will be isolated and intensity will be
weak. Main impacts from any storms that form after 3 PM would be
a few lightning strikes and gusty winds to 30 mph. Overall
the chance of a thunderstorm impacting the site is around 30%.

Relative humidity will recover nicely overnight, starting out
around 25-50% and increasing to 80% by sunrise. A cool front with
high relative humidity and northeast winds around 10 mph will
impact the site mid morning, and conditions will be cool and moist
most of the day Wednesday. There will be a good chance of showers and
thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon after 2 PM.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........29%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6-7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......10000-10300 ft AGL until 1600, then 5800-6800
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1500. good after 1700.
Haines Index........4 low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 0200, then partly
                    cloudy(50-60%). Chance of thunderstorms until
                    2300, then slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    2400.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 0 percent.
LAL.................4 until 2300, then 3 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........77%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......2200-3200 ft AGL until 2100, then 1300-1600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(40-50%) until 1200, then cloudy.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after 0900 until
                    1200, then chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........48%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6-7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 0900.
Mixing height.......2100-3100 ft AGL until 1100, then 4900-5900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then
                    good until 1300, then fair until 1600, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.


Fire Weather Table for 676 Trail.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/25-14 75 40 18 80 32  SW  6  6 4 4        10045  SW 15129579    V
07/25-15 80 42 19 79 35 WSW  7  7 4 4        10340  SW 13112359    V
07/25-16 84 43 20 77 38 WSW  9 14 3 4         7277  SW 15 94012   G
07/25-17 88 45 22 74 43 WNW  8 13 2 4         5307   W 15 70301   G
07/25-18 87 45 22 71 49  NW  7  7 2 4         3337 WNW 16 45297  F
07/25-19 87 45 22 69 54  NW  6  6 2 4         2664 WNW 13 30473 P
07/25-20 81 39 17 66 62  NW  6  6 2 4         1992 WNW 10 18524 P
07/25-21 81 33 12 64 67  NW  5  5 2 4         1320 WNW  8  9451 P
07/25-22 75 27  7 63 69  NW  3  3 2 4         1311 WNW  8  8577 P
07/25-23 69 21  4 62 71 WNW  3  3 2 3         1302 WNW  7  7714 P
07/26-00 63  8  2 62 70 WNW  3  3 2 1         1293 WNW  6  6862 P
07/26-01 60  8  2 62 70 WNW  3  3 2 1         1381  NW  7  8395 P
07/26-02 58  9  2 62 70  NW  5  5 2 1         1468 NNW  8 10062 P
07/26-03 55  9  2 61 72  NW  5  5 2 1         1555   N  9 11865 P
07/26-04 55  9  2 60 74  NW  5  5 2 1         1558   N  9 12292 P
07/26-05 55  9  2 58 77  NW  5  5 2 1         1561   N  9 12720 P
07/26-06 49  8  2 58 75  NW  5  5 2 1         1564   N  9 13149 P
07/26-07 49  8  2 60 73  NW  5  5 2 1         1905   N  9 15128 P
07/26-08 49  8  2 63 68 NNW  5  5 2 1         2247 NNW  8 16786 P
07/26-09 40 21  4 66 63   N  5  5 2 3         2589 NNW  8 18975 P
07/26-10 40 21  4 70 56   N  6  6 2 3         3630 NNW  9 30604 P
07/26-11 40 21  4 73 51 NNE  7  7 2 3         4671 NNW 12 44529  F
07/26-12 83 36 14 75 48 NNE  8 13 2 4         5712 NNW 13 60748   G
07/26-13 83 36 14 76 48 NNE  8 14 2 4         5967   N 10 56498  F
07/26-14 83 36 14 76 49  NE  8 14 2 4         6222   N  9 51653  F
07/26-15 83 53 28 75 52  NE  8 13 2 4         6477   N  8 46213  F
07/26-16 83 53 28 73 55  NE  7  7 2 4         5499 NNE  8 38807 P
07/26-17 83 53 28 70 61  NE  7  7 2 4         4521 NNE  8 31554 P
07/26-18 98 60 38 67 68  NE  6  6 2 5         3543 NNE  8 24453 P
07/26-19 98 60 38 65 74   E  6  6 2 5         3113 ENE  7 19721 P
07/26-20 98 60 38 63 80   S  5  5 2 5         2682 SSE  7 15476 P
07/26-21 98 60 38 61 87  SW  5  5 2 5         2252 SSW  6 11718 P
07/26-22 98 60 38 60 89  SW  5  5 2 5         2115   S  6 11283 P
07/26-23 98 60 38 60 88 SSW  3  3 2 5         1979   S  6 10813 P
07/27-00 92 42 19 60 87 SSW  3  3 2 1         1842   S  7 10307 P
07/27-01 92 42 19 60 86 SSW  3  3 2 1         1701   S  7 10570 P
07/27-02 92 42 19 59 88   S  3  3 2 1         1559   S  8 10659 P
07/27-03 92 42 19 59 87   S  3  3 2 1         1418 SSW  8 10573 P
07/27-04 92 42 19 58 87   S  3  3 2 1         1382 SSW  9 10970 P
07/27-05 92 42 19 58 84 SSW  5  5 2 1         1346  SW  9 11333 P
07/27-06 78 33 12 59 80 SSW  5  5 2 1         1311  SW 10 11662 P
07/27-07 76 33 12 60 80 SSW  5  5 2 1         1974  SW 10 17711 P
07/27-08 74 33 12 62 78   S  3  3 2 1         2638  SW 10 23855 P
07/27-09 74 33 12 64 75 SSE  3  3 2 4         3302 WSW 10 30096 P
07/27-10 77 33 12 67 68 SSE  3  3 2 4         4505 WSW  8 33385 P
07/27-11 82 33 12 70 61  SE  3  3 2 4         5708 WSW  7 32574 P
07/27-12 86 48 24 72 57  SE  5  5 2 4         6911   W  5 27664 P
07/27-13 87 48 24 73 56  SE  6  6 2 4         7257  SW  6 33233 P
07/27-14 86 48 24 73 57  SE  7  7 2 4         7602   S  6 39202 P
07/27-15 86 48 24 73 57  SE  7  7 2 4         7948 SSE  7 45570  F
07/27-16 84 48 24 72 59 SSE  7  7 2 4         6618 SSE  7 42391  F
07/27-17 82 48 24 71 61 SSE  6  6 2 4         5289   S  8 37425 P
07/27-18 84 26  6 69 66 SSE  6  6 2 4         3959   S  9 30674 P
07/27-19 85 26  6 67 71 SSE  6  6 2 4         3229   S 10 28464 P
07/27-20 85 26  6 64 78   S  7  7 3 4         2499 SSW 12 24695 P
07/27-21 82 26  6 62 84   S  7  7 3 4         1769 SSW 13 19367 P
07/27-22 72 26  6 60 88   S  7  7 3 4         1577 SSW 13 17344 P
07/27-23 58 26  6 59 89 SSW  7  7 3 4         1385  SW 13 15302 P
07/28-00 48 10  2 59 87 SSW  7  7 3 1         1193  SW 13 13242 P
07/28-01 42 10  2 59 84 SSW  7  7 3 1         1149  SW 12 11509 P
07/28-02 39 10  2 60 78 SSW  8 13 3 1         1104 WSW 10  9873 P
07/28-03 38 10  2 59 78 SSW  8 13 3 1         1059 WSW  9  8333 P
07/28-04 38 10  2 58 78  SW  8 13 3 1         1092   W  8  8045 P
07/28-05 38 10  2 57 79  SW  8  8 3 1         1125 WNW  8  7723 P
07/28-06 40 10  2 58 75  SW  7  7 3 1         1158 WNW  7  5478 P
07/28-07 52 10  2 61 66 SSW  6  6 3 1         2308   W  7 13295 P
07/28-08 57 10  2 67 54 SSE  6  6 3 1         3613 WNW  7 21889 P
07/28-09 62 10  2 71 47  SE  5  5 3 1         4918  NW  7 31259 P
07/28-10 67 10  2 75 42 ESE  5  5 3 1         6223   N  8 41407  F
07/28-11 72 10  2 77 41   E  3  3 3 1         7528   N  8 52331  F
07/28-12 74 26  6 78 40 ENE  3  3 3 4         8833 NNE  8 64031   G
07/28-13 74 26  6 78 41 ENE  3  3 3 4         8729 NNE  8 63394   G
07/28-14 73 26  6 78 42   E  3  3 3 4         8626 NNE  8 62754   G
07/28-15 72 26  6 77 43   E  3  3 3 4         8522  NE  8 62112   G
07/28-16 71 26  6 76 45   E  3  3 3 4         8419  NE  8 61467   G
07/28-17 70 26  6 74 48 ESE  3  3 3 4         8315  NE  8 60819   G
07/28-18 69 16  3 72 51 ESE  3  3 3 3         8212  NE  8 60168   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...SCHLATTER
REQUESTED BY...Lyndsey Wolgram
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713377.0/BOU



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