Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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FNUS71 KBOX 302155
FWSBOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LUDLOW EVENT...MEMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
555 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 EDT ON AUGUST 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER AND HUMID CONDITIONS DEVELOP TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ESPECIALLY
OVER THE INTERIOR. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED
ACROSS CT/RI AND SOUTH OF THE MASS PIKE LABOR DAY.

MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM 60 TO 70 PERCENT ON
SUNDAY. ON MONDAY THE MIN RH WILL BE 55 TO 65 PERCENT...BUT 70 TO
80 PERCENT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST.

OUTLOOK...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FOLLOWS TUE BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUE EVENING AND NIGHT
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. WARM BUT LESS HUMID WEATHER
FOLLOWS FOR MID WEEK BEHIND THE FRONT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7300-27400 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............67  65  64  64  65  65  65  66  66  69  72  74
WEATHER COV.........                                            PTY
WEATHER TYPE........                                            FOG
TSTM COV............
TEMP................75  73  69  68  67  66  65  65  65  65  65  65
RH..................55  62  73  76  81  84  90  90  93  93  93  97
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 2.3 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
LVORI...............2   2   3   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6
ADI.................26  22  12  12  7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....27  21  17  15  14  13  10  9   7   7   8   8

.SUNDAY...

MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-3100 FT
                    AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6900-30800 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  12  10  10
LVORI...............5   6   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................10  10  11  14  16  20  22  26  28  26  22  20
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   7   7   11  14  19  22  27  31  28  22  19

$$
FORECASTER...FIELD
REQUESTED BY...KYLE SODANO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140830.LUDLO.01/BOX


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