Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 231916
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROANE CREEK...CODY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
116 PM MDT WED JUL 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1250 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...WARM AND UNSTABLE TODAY AND THURSDAY WITH NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY...

CUMULUS BUILDUPS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AT THE FIRE SITE AFTER 1800 MDT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH ANY SHOWER OR STORM THAT DOES
DEVELOP. WARM AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO PRODUCE A HAINES
OF 6 THIS AFTERNOON...AND CAUSE MODERATE TO POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY
TONIGHT. IT WILL STAY WARM AND UNSTABLE THURSDAY AND A FRONTAL
PASSAGE WILL INCREASE WESTERLY WINDS AND PRODUCE NEAR-CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SCHULTZ

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A FEW CUMULUS BUILDUPS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 5-10 MPH BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH BY LATE EVENING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST
                    13 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

$$
FORECASTER...SCHULTZ
REQUESTED BY...JACK TATUM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140723.ROANE.01/BYZ


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