Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 210903
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for PennCarbose EPA/EMA Hazmat Clean-Up...Somerset County EMA
National Weather Service State College PA
503 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 0500 EDT on August 21.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms are possible today, mainly in the afternoon and evening.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms late.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Surface winds.......Light and variable winds...becoming west 5 to 6
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1800 ft AGL...increasing to 3800-5600 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 14 mph...increasing to 15 to 16 mph
                    late.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  47  40  41  42  43  46  51  54  55  56  56
Weather cov.....                                            ISO
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........                                            ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20
Temp............60  59  62  67  73  76  77  79  80  80  79  79
RH..............84  87  100 93  79  71  67  64  60  60  60  62
Surface wnd dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.2   2   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.3 1.8 3.8 5.3 5.6 5.3 4.9 5.1 5.2 4.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   7   9   12  13  14  14  15  16  16

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......1700-3400 ft AGL...decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 13 mph...becoming southwest 3 to 6
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........57  59  60  58  55  52  49  46  44  44  44  44
Weather cov.....ISO ISO SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............77  74  73  72  71  70  69  68  68  67  67  66
RH..............67  74  76  79  81  81  84  87  87  90  90  97
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
Surface wnd gst.10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  8   5   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the morning. A chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon...then thunderstorms and showers
                    likely late.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......0-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 4900-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph...increasing to 26 to 28
                    mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43  43  43  45  48  52  55  58  60  64  71  78
Weather cov.....                    ISO ISO ISO CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    ISO ISO ISO CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  40  40  40  70
Temp............65  66  69  71  73  75  77  78  79  81  81  80
RH..............100 97  87  81  76  74  69  67  64  60  60  65
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.5   5   6   6   7   8   9   10  11  11  11  11
Surface wnd gst.5   10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.2 4.6 5.4 5.9 6.0 6.0 5.6 4.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   12  18  23  25  25  25  26  28  26

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/LaCorte
Requested by...Joel Landis
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 1714626.0/CTP
.EMAIL landisj@co.somerset.pa.us



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