Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS73 KDTX 241253
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR VERONA...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
853 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 24.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW EAST WINDS TO
DEVELOP TODAY...WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON. FLOW OFF
THE LAKE WILL KEEP RH HIGHER TODAY OVER THE THUMB THAN YESTERDAY...WITH
MIN HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW 30S THIS
AFTERNOON AT THE BURN SITE. RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE IN FOR VERY
LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6...BECOMING EAST
                    7 TO 12 MPH AROUND NOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING EAST 15 TO 16
                    MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL BY LATE
                    MORNING...THEN...INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL
                    LATE...DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (MAX...500).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........71  73  74  75  77  80  83  86  89
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  44  47  49  50  51  51  50  49
RH..............50  44  41  38  35  32  32  33  35
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 4.0 4.5 4.9 5.2 5.3 4.9 4.0 2.5
HAINES INDEX....4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
VRATE (KT-FT)...200 200 200 300 400 500 500 500 400

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 400 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 26
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........90     90     90     90     90     92
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............48     45     43     41     40     40
RH..............39     48     53     59     63     68
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      E      SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10     8      8      10     12     13
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     20

$$
FORECASTER...OROW
REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.VERON.01/DTX




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